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So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

fatslob-:O said:
With the latest NPD figures, vgc estimates the Switch has sold at total of ~14M units. With no big releases on the horizon it's safe to rule out that the Switch will ship another ~6M units this quarter ...

That's incorrect. You're suggesting it needs another 6m sell through, but it doesn't. Nintendo's forecast had it doing 20m shipped for the fiscal year (April 2018 to March 2019). Honest question: do you know the difference between shipped and sold? VGC numbers are sold, not shipped.

PS: If the 10m shipped number for this quarter is correct, Switch will be at 15.1m shipped as of December 31st, needing another 5m to reach the goal. I agree with you that even with that it's impossible if those are the numbers we'll be getting next week from Nintendo, but as food for thought, Switch did ~3m last year on the same quarter. This year, with the info we have, it's tracking well ahead of last year's January (about 40% higher based on MC), so we can realistically expect it to ship anything from 3.5m to 4.2m, which should put it between 18.6m~19.3m for the fiscal year. While not reaching 20m, it will be quite close (will miss the mark by less than 10%) for sure).



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

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Looks like it will be 3 million short



IGN has it at over 32 million LTS as of right now. I think its going to be a lot closer than people thought initially. Commendable.



"Games are a trigger for adults to again become primitive, primal, as a way of thinking and remembering. An adult is a child who has more ethics and morals, that's all. When I am a child, creating, I am not creating a game. I am in the game. The game is not for children, it is for me. It is for an adult who still has a character of a child."

 

Shigeru Miyamoto

They will beat both new prediction with 18,5 M consoles and 115M software. This will be a happy end on April 31st.



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Zombie9ers said:
Looks like it will be 3 million short

They'll probably be less then 3m short but I'm sure originally they wanted to beat the 20m forecast too. Anyway this concludes a heated and messy chapter on Vgchartz. Those of us who believed in sub 20m have been proven right. I'm glad we have because a lot of crow was pre prepared for us so which wouldn't have been nice to swallow. 



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Kerotan said:
Zombie9ers said:
Looks like it will be 3 million short

They'll probably be less then 3m short but I'm sure originally they wanted to beat the 20m forecast too. Anyway this concludes a heated and messy chapter on Vgchartz. Those of us who believed in sub 20m have been proven right. I'm glad we have because a lot of crow was pre prepared for us so which wouldn't have been nice to swallow. 

Yeah, but people need to stop acting like it was a small village predicting Nintendo to miss the forecast. Pretty sure the majority were predicting a miss



Kerotan said:
Zombie9ers said:
Looks like it will be 3 million short

They'll probably be less then 3m short but I'm sure originally they wanted to beat the 20m forecast too. Anyway this concludes a heated and messy chapter on Vgchartz. Those of us who believed in sub 20m have been proven right. I'm glad we have because a lot of crow was pre prepared for us so which wouldn't have been nice to swallow. 

Yeah, but people need to stop acting like it was a small village predicting Nintendo to miss the forecast. Pretty sure the majority were predicting a miss



Slighty over 17 looks like.



To those that predicted it would

time to dig in boys