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Will the Switch Dominate The Holiday Season?

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Will the Switch Dominate The Holiday Season?

Yes 69 50.74%
 
No, Sony will 42 30.88%
 
No, Microsoft will 5 3.68%
 
Not sure 20 14.71%
 
Total:136
LethalP said:
Could sell more in US, but worldwide it probably wont.

They also have the Asian market in their hands at this point. Especially with a Pokémon game incoming.

Europe is the big wild card there.



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It might sell the most, but people here are overestimating Smash and underestimating games like RDR2, Battlefield, CoD, FIFA, Spiderman... And of course other big 3rd party games not announced yet. I'm not expecting huge announcements for this holiday on Switch at E3. Smash, Pokemon and Fire Emblem are already a huge effort from Nintendo. If they release more, next year might become empty. 

It won't dominate, except in Japan. The WW sales are not really incredible lately. It's losing in the US and being dominated in EU. Smash and a Pokemon spin off won't be enough to turn that into a domination IMO.



Mar1217 said:
LethalP said:
Could sell more in US, but worldwide it probably wont.

They also have the Asian market in their hands at this point. Especially with a Pokémon game incoming.

Europe is the big wild card there.

why is pokemon all of a sudden the second coming because its on switch. pokemon was on 3ds a much cheaper console, and sales didn't explode, i gave the same logic back when people thought switch was gonna destroy ps4 this year in NPD, if we look at monthly average numbers, it clear it wasn't gonna happen, but people ignored it till it was proven right. 



jason1637 said:
melbye said:
From what we know right now I don't know what would stop the Nintendo Holiday freight-train. RDR will of course sell well, so will COD but will they push hardware, i don't think so

This. CoD and RDR2 will push sale but i don't think they will be enough. There has already been 5 CoD games this gen so must players already have a current gen console. Alsow ith the BR mode the game will be big on PC and take away sales. For RDR2 I think a lot of the fans are GTAV fans and that they already have a console. I could see some PC players buying consoles to play it though but those sales will be split between PS4 and XBO.

People have been saying this every holiday season yet COD and FIFA still move a lot of consoles

OT: I can see NS being the top seller, as to how much does "dominate" mean, I doubt it will beat PS4 by a huge margin 



I'm going to hold off until E3 is over to decide.



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Nintendo still has games to announce for the rest of the year and we still don't even know a single thing about Smash, maybe it will be super disappointing.. But if they add some other games like Fire Emblem and Starfox to Smash and Pkmn there is no way the Switch won't be on top for a couple of weeks WW during Summer/Fall and will surely take the lead during the holidays like it did last year with only big titles was Mario Odyssey and came out in october and there was nothing major before that except Zelda, it had stock issues and no deals.



quickrick said:
Teriol said:

Thanks god you are always wrong, your bias blind you all the time.

Funny thing i'm mostly always right.  mainline pokemon didn't propel 3ds into  new heights, i'm not sure why a spin off is suppose to take switch into 20 millions sales. 

Technically, Ishihara of the Pokemon Company said Let’s Go is a mainline core RPG Pokemon title. You can watch the press conference, it’s right after the trailer where he said it. It’s not the mainline title hardcore fans are looking for (that will be in 2019), but it’s considered a mainline title.

Regardless, it’s Pokemon on Switch. An HD RPG. Its apparently catering to casuals, those who haven’t played Pokémon since the late 90s or early 2000s, those who are Go players (and there are still a pretty good amount of them), or those who have never played Pokémon before. Your personal impressions don’t seem to matter at the moment since it’s creating buzz all around and there’s a good amount of positive along with negative. And even then, we’ve had similar reactions before, even worse with US/UM when they were teased at last years Pokemon direct. Now, even if it may not mean much at the moment, both versions are number 1 and 2 in the Amazon charts.

And it’s not just Pokemon that is supposed to carry Switch. It’s Smash, it’s Fire Emblem, it’s Yoshi, it’s a variety of games they have planned (we’ll see how it goes at E3). They said they want to ship 20 million by the end of March 2019 so apparently they have something up their sleeve along with Smash and Pokemon. They have been lowballing expectations before and the ones that did fall below expectations were the early days of the Wii U/3DS, when they suffered their first losses in decades.



It's not impossible...



Meh... Nintendo system sales are too unpredictable. I don't know what specifically made the Switch sell, so i have no idea if that specific pokemon game will do anything big for it or not. Same for smash. We still don't know much about it either.



Kai_Mao said:
quickrick said:

Funny thing i'm mostly always right.  mainline pokemon didn't propel 3ds into  new heights, i'm not sure why a spin off is suppose to take switch into 20 millions sales. 

Technically, Ishihara of the Pokemon Company said Let’s Go is a mainline core RPG Pokemon title. You can watch the press conference, it’s right after the trailer where he said it. It’s not the mainline title hardcore fans are looking for (that will be in 2019), but it’s considered a mainline title.

Regardless, it’s Pokemon on Switch. An HD RPG. Its apparently catering to casuals, those who haven’t played Pokémon since the late 90s or early 2000s, those who are Go players (and there are still a pretty good amount of them), or those who have never played Pokémon before. Your personal impressions don’t seem to matter at the moment since it’s creating buzz all around and there’s a good amount of positive along with negative. And even then, we’ve had similar reactions before, even worse with US/UM when they were teased at last years Pokemon direct. Now, even if it may not mean much at the moment, both versions are number 1 and 2 in the Amazon charts.

And it’s not just Pokemon that is supposed to carry Switch. It’s Smash, it’s Fire Emblem, it’s Yoshi, it’s a variety of games they have planned (we’ll see how it goes at E3). They said they want to ship 20 million by the end of March 2019 so apparently they have something up their sleeve along with Smash and Pokemon. They have been lowballing expectations before and the ones that did fall below expectations were the early days of the Wii U/3DS, when they suffered their first losses in decades.

yea go players that got the game for free, are all of a sudden gonna spend 360$ for pokemon go enhanced experience.