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Can the Switch realistically surpass XBOX One's sales figures?

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Will the Switch surpass XBOX One?

Yes, in 2018. 14 11.11%
 
Yes, in 2019. 61 48.41%
 
Yes, in 2020. 38 30.16%
 
Not before next-gen conso... 3 2.38%
 
No, it will do well in 2018 and then drop. 2 1.59%
 
No, it will perform until 2019, then drop. 2 1.59%
 
No, it will never match 2017 in sales number. 6 4.76%
 
Total:126

Is this an April Fool's joke? I'd say that yes it is realistic, its sales don't have any indication that it would be unrealistic.



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Switch will surpass X1 and X1X combined sales easily by the end of next year...

It is less likely, but still possible, that it could happen this year.

Either worst april fools joke or worst prediction ever.



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gabzjmm23 said:
if no new revision of the Switch hardware and XBOX One continue to have the best selling multiplatform games. I doubt it. The Wii dropped it sales maybe in 6th year? Switch can also have lower sales toward its 3rd or 4th year if no hardware revision.

Lol dude, the Switch will piss on Xbox One and easily beat it.

Nintendo's worst selling handheld is the 3DS and we already know the Xbox One will never reach the 3DS.



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Helloplite said:

Hear me out: We all know that the Switch has been consistently outselling XBOX One, to the point that it now has nearly 40% of XBOX One's total sales, in little over a year since it launched. This is incredible, and provided Nintendo kept the same pace, and XBOX One ceased to sell at all, it would be likely that Nintendo would top its sales within 14-18 months time. 

 

Of course, the above scenario is impossible. With XBOX One X, Microsoft has managed to resurrect the platform's sales, and they could well perform much higher than anticipated in 2018. Nintendo, on the other hand, would pretty much have to surpass their first year, which sounds impossible at this moment.

 

I understand that eventually, given current trends, Switch could outsell the XBOX. But if this happens at the twilight of this generation, then it would be a Pyrrhic victory. 

 

Will the Switch surpass XBOX One (vanilla, S, and X) sales?

 

radishhead said:
Is this an April Fools? Of course it will outsell it - it will almost certainly double the Xbox One in sales.

 

I certainly hope is an Aprils Fools joke haha.

OP why in the world do you say it is impossible for the Switch to beat its first year sales?? I've never heard anyone say they think it'll sell less than the first year. And Xbox is selling about half of what the Switch is - not exactly the number it needs to hold off the Switch. Switch should pass xbox in late 2019 or early 2020 and probably end up doubling xbox sales.



Sales figures right now shows that yes, it will.



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2020



 

Helloplite said:

Hear me out: We all know that the Switch has been consistently outselling XBOX One, to the point that it now has nearly 40% of XBOX One's total sales, in little over a year since it launched. This is incredible, and provided Nintendo kept the same pace, and XBOX One ceased to sell at all, it would be likely that Nintendo would top its sales within 14-18 months time. 

 

Of course, the above scenario is impossible. With XBOX One X, Microsoft has managed to resurrect the platform's sales, and they could well perform much higher than anticipated in 2018. Nintendo, on the other hand, would pretty much have to surpass their first year, which sounds impossible at this moment.

 

I understand that eventually, given current trends, Switch could outsell the XBOX. But if this happens at the twilight of this generation, then it would be a Pyrrhic victory. 

 

Will the Switch surpass XBOX One (vanilla, S, and X) sales?

When you use the word 'pyrrhic', you're implying that having the Switch beat the XB1 in sales would inflict such a devastating toll on Nintendo that it would essentially be counted as a loss for them.

But, yes; the Switch will beat the XB1 in sales by 2019 because Microsoft will probably churn out a new console that year to get a head start on Sony and the PS5.



If you are talking about fiscal year, than 2019 is very likely, perhaps early 2020.
If you are talking about "just year" than 2020 for sure.

Xbox will die close to the 60M line, SWITCH will surpass than for sure.



Prediction: In 5 years Nintendo will Lauch a "Core Mario game"  very similar to Astro Bot. That said, many will Ignore Astro Bot existence and say Nintendo created this concept.

Nintendo wouldn't ever be so reckless to try to surpass XBOne in 2018, but 2019 and 2020 are far more likely, it will depend on when and how much Ninty will boost production



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Helloplite said:

Hear me out: We all know that the Switch has been consistently outselling XBOX One, to the point that it now has nearly 40% of XBOX One's total sales, in little over a year since it launched. This is incredible, and provided Nintendo kept the same pace, and XBOX One ceased to sell at all, it would be likely that Nintendo would top its sales within 14-18 months time. 

 

Of course, the above scenario is impossible. With XBOX One X, Microsoft has managed to resurrect the platform's sales, and they could well perform much higher than anticipated in 2018. Nintendo, on the other hand, would pretty much have to surpass their first year, which sounds impossible at this moment.

 

I understand that eventually, given current trends, Switch could outsell the XBOX. But if this happens at the twilight of this generation, then it would be a Pyrrhic victory. 

 

Will the Switch surpass XBOX One (vanilla, S, and X) sales?

You really need to flesh out your reasons because it comes off more like something you hope rather than putting any real thought into it. Why is the scenario of your first paragraph impossible?

 

How has the X model resurrected the platform? Yeah, the X model+PUBG releasing at the end of last year and the $50 discounts in Feb have gotten it off to a solid start this year but that doesnt really mean much for the year overall.

XBO is currently up by ~280k YoY in the first 11 weeks according to this site, even if the gap continues to grow all it takes is for XBO to be down YoY during the holidays to erase that lead and considering MS likely does not have a new model to push sales like 2017 did than its very possible to see a moderate drop in Nov/Dec.

XBO has sold ~8 million each year for the last 4 years and there is little reason to expect it to deviate from that to a huge extent.

 

 

As for Switch, what exactly makes it impossible for it to be up YoY? Doing 13 million is amazing for a first year but in general its not anything mind blowing. Gameboy, SNES, PS1, PS2, GBA, DS, PSP, 360, Wii, PS3, 3DS & PS4 have all met or exceeded that number in a given year so its far from an impossible goal.

 

 

Either this was a clever April Fools (kudos if thats what it is) or you just dont want Switch to outsell XBO.



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