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In progress NPD predicting tool

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Bofferbrauer2 said:
If this keeps up, then Switch will crush PS4 and XBO even harder next months than it did in May

Something tells me the "Days of play" sales will give the PS4 a good boost though so I'm actually expecting a closer month than we would usually get 



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Mar1217 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
If this keeps up, then Switch will crush PS4 and XBO even harder next months than it did in May

Something tells me the "Days of play" sales will give the PS4 a good boost though so I'm actually expecting a closer month than we would usually get 

Well, from the chart we can see the spike in sales the days of play did - it's just that afterwards PS4 sales dropped below where they were before the days of play.

In other words, it preempted sales a bit, but didn't change total sales a lot.



06/25/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 13 (+2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 43 (-1) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 76 (+20) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 82 (+5) - 379.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 25 + 19 = 44 points (+25) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 150 + 66 = 216 points (+8)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 5 (+2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 11 (+7) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 13 (+9) - 299.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 15 (+8) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 31 (+4) - 299.99$
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 51 (-5) - 249.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 54 (-11) - 499.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 62 (-6) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 160 + 150 + 140 = 450 points (+111) ; XBO : 90 + 50 + 47 +39 = 226 points (-27) ; NS : 210 + 190 = 400 points (+15)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 34 (+5)
2 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 40 (+34)
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 65 (-18)
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 67 (+6)
5 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 78 (+49)
6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 124 (-27)
7 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 128 (-27)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 86 + 39 = 125 points (-33) ; XBO : 84 points (+6) ; NS : 130 + 115 + 74 + 37 = 356 points (+76)

Overall :

1 - NS : 608.8 points (+85.4) ; Month Average : 467.9 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 250.2 points (+9.2) ; Month Average : 311.5 points/day ; 0.67 (-0.02)
3 - XBO : 168.0 points (+0.8) ; Month Average : 185.1 points/day ; 0.40 (-0.01)



What's up with Switch at Gamestop? is there any promotion going on?



Bofferbrauer2 said:
What's up with Switch at Gamestop? is there any promotion going on?

Seems the Pokemon bundles are back in stock.



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abronn627 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
What's up with Switch at Gamestop? is there any promotion going on?

Seems the Pokemon bundles are back in stock.

Those do for quite a while now. PLG Pikachu bundle was available throughout the month, while the one with the Pokeball charger came back June 16. But that model doesn't fly high, but the others, especially Neon and Gray, are climbing higher and higher. So much hype for SMM2 or what could drive that?



Normally after a console has been out for 5-6 years like the PS4 and XB1, the price is below $300. If a person is willing to pay $300 for one of these systems, then they likely already have one. This is the time period to try to see to late adopters who want a cheaper console.

Basically these consoles need a price cut. I'm not even particularly a fan of either one, but this type of business just seems crazy to me. I doubt they would be selling at a loss at $250-$200 and they already sell at this price during the holidays anyway. Basically their current model is to sell most of their hardware during the holiday season, because that is when these old consoles are actually at a decent price. Why not just go ahead and make the price cut permanent?



The_Liquid_Laser said:
Normally after a console has been out for 5-6 years like the PS4 and XB1, the price is below $300. If a person is willing to pay $300 for one of these systems, then they likely already have one. This is the time period to try to see to late adopters who want a cheaper console.

Basically these consoles need a price cut. I'm not even particularly a fan of either one, but this type of business just seems crazy to me. I doubt they would be selling at a loss at $250-$200 and they already sell at this price during the holidays anyway. Basically their current model is to sell most of their hardware during the holiday season, because that is when these old consoles are actually at a decent price. Why not just go ahead and make the price cut permanent?

Maybe they want to keep the price as close as possible to the PS5/Scarlett in hopes that the difference will be small enough that late adopters skip the PS4/XB1 and go straight to the 9th gen consoles with backwards compatibility.



The PS4 Slim wasn't on sale during days of play so im not a expecting a big boost from that.



The_Liquid_Laser said:
Normally after a console has been out for 5-6 years like the PS4 and XB1, the price is below $300. If a person is willing to pay $300 for one of these systems, then they likely already have one. This is the time period to try to see to late adopters who want a cheaper console.

Basically these consoles need a price cut. I'm not even particularly a fan of either one, but this type of business just seems crazy to me. I doubt they would be selling at a loss at $250-$200 and they already sell at this price during the holidays anyway. Basically their current model is to sell most of their hardware during the holiday season, because that is when these old consoles are actually at a decent price. Why not just go ahead and make the price cut permanent?

The XBO has been available for $220-$230 with a game/s for months. A price cut isn't helping it at all. 

Right now, I think Sony is just trying to pull in as much profit off of ok console sales as possible. I have no doubt they will drop it to $249 later this year.