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In progress NPD predicting tool

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The new XB1 Fortnite Bundle launches on the 7th.



Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287

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06/07/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 12 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 39 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 49 (-7) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb - 77 (-11) - 207.79$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 80 (+4) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 54 + 21 = 75 points (-10) ; XBO : 24 points (-11) ; NS : 155 + 74 = 229 points (-14)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 4 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 11 (-4) - 399.99$
5 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 16 (N) - 249.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 65 (-) - 249.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 77 (+4) - 199.99$
8 (-2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 79 (-7) - 399.99$
9 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 88 (+9) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 + 160 = 355 points (-25) ; XBO : 135 + 36 + 24 + 22 + 13 = 230 points (+141) ; NS : 205 + 170 = 375 points (-5)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 22 (+32)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 33 (+28)
3 (N) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 62 (N)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 65 (+9)
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 68 (+16)
6 (-3) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 80 (-13)
7 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 94 (-14)
8 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 151 (-31)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 90 + 86 + 84 = 260 points (+114) ; XBO : 160 + 25 = 185 points (+46) ; NS : 130 + 72 + 58 = 260 points (+14)

Overall :

1 - NS : 518.2 points (+1.8) ; Month Average : 504.7 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 391.0 points (+101.0) ; Month Average : 322.3 points/day ; 0.64 (+0.04)
3 - XBO : 325.3 points (+85.1) ; Month Average : 181.4 points/day ; 0.36 (+0.12)


We have few promo units here. PS4 and XBO numbers might go down a bit when I have time to apply new formula.



PS4 Days of play might skew things a little bit but it is clear that the Switch comes as the early leader this month once again



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

06/09/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 17 (-5) - 299.00$
2 (+3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 44 (+36) - 349.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 51 (-12) - 299.00$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 70 (-21) - 299.99$
5 (N) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 89 (N) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb - 77 (-11) - 207.79$

PS4 : 64 + 31 = 95 points (+20) ; XBO : 12 points (-12) ; NS : 130 + 50 = 180 points (-49)


- Best Buy :

1 (+3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 5 (+6) - 349.99$
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 7 (-5) - 299.99$
3 (N) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 12 (N) - 299.99$
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 23 (-7) - 249.99$
5 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 25 (-16) - 299.99$
6 (-4) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 41 (-37) - 299.99$
7 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 54 (N) - 399.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 59 (+18) - 199.99$
9 (-3) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 69 (-4) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

8 (-2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 79 (-7) - 399.99$
9 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 88 (+9) - 249.99$

PS4 : 190 + 155 + 70 = 415 points (+60) ; XBO : 106 + 47 + 42 + 32 = 227 points (-3) ; NS : 180 + 102 = 282 points (-93)


- Gamestop :

1 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 11 (+51)
2 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 16 (+6)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 41 (+27)
4 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 44 (-11)
5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 74 (+6)
6 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 116 (-51)
7 (R) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 142 (R)
8 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 151 (-57)
9 (N) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 SP System - 183 (N)
10 (-2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 200 (-49)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 185 + 110 + 43 + 9 = 347 points (+87) ; XBO : 175 + 1 = 176 points (-9) ; NS : 108 + 78 + 30 + 25 = 241 points (-19)

Overall :

1 - NS : 441.4 points (-76.8) ; Month Average : 492.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 506.0 points (+115.0) ; Month Average : 364.1 points/day ; 0.74 (+0.10)
3 - XBO : 300.3 points (-25.0) ; Month Average : 212.6 points/day ; 0.43 (+0.07)



06/10/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 25 (-8) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 52 (-8) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 72 (-21) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 88 (-18) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 100 (-11) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 49 + 13 = 62 points (-33) ; XBO : 1 points (-11) ; NS : 102 + 29 = 131 points (-49)


- Best Buy :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+5) - 299.99$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 4 (+1) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 14 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 16 (+7) - 249.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 21 (+4) - 299.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 47 (-6) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 48 (+6) - 399.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 54 (+5) - 199.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 76 (-7) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 + 145 + 58 = 398 points (-17) ; XBO : 135 + 56 + 47 + 25 = 263 points (+36) ; NS : 205 + 110 = 315 points (+33)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 26 (-15)
2 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 27 (-11)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 62 (-21)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 71 (-27)
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 87 (-13)
6 (+3) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 SP System - 161 (+22)
7 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 167 (-16)
8 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 171 (+29)
9 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 188 (-44)
10 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 193 (N)

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 116 (-51)

PS4 : 150 + 90 + 20 = 260 points (-87) ; XBO : 145 + 15 + 4 = 164 points (-12) ; NS : 80 + 64 + 17 + 7 = 168 points (-73)

Overall :

1 - NS : 335.8 points (-105.6) ; Month Average : 475.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 389.2 points (-116.8) ; Month Average : 366.9 points/day ; 0.77 (+0.03)
3 - XBO : 282.6 points (-17.7) ; Month Average : 220.4 points/day ; 0.46 (+0.03)



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Switch dropping... until their Direct, I'd say.



06/11/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 21 (+4) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 47 (+5) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 60 (+12) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 82 (+6) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 99 (+1) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 58 + 19 = 77 points (+15) ; XBO : 2 points (+1) ; NS : 110 + 41 = 151 points (+20)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (-2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 8 (-4) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 12 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 19 (+2) - 299.99$
5 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 27 (-11) - 249.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 44 (+3) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 46 (+2) - 399.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 52 (+2) - 199.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 77 (-1) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 155 + 64 = 394 points (-4) ; XBO : 98 + 60 + 49 + 24 = 231 points (-32) ; NS : 195 + 120 = 315 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 42 (-15)
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 59 (-33)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 69 (+2)
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 85 (-23)
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 105 (-18)
6 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 190 (-23)

Out of Top 100 :

6 (+3) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 SP System - 161 (+22)
8 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 171 (+29)
9 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 188 (-44)
10 (N) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 193 (N)


PS4 : 92 + 66 = 158 points (-102) ; XBO : 110 points (-54) ; NS : 82 + 48 + 6 = 136 points (-32)

Overall :

1 - NS : 319.8 points (-16.0) ; Month Average : 459.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 298.4 points (-90.8) ; Month Average : 360.1 points/day ; 0.78 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 205.1 points (-77.5) ; Month Average : 218.9 points/day ; 0.48 (+0.02)



This is shaping up to be an a lot more interesting month.



chakkra said:

This is shaping up to be an a lot more interesting month.

Nah, Nintendo just got pushed down by the slew of new game announcements, while the PS4 is pushed a bit by the games of play PS4 sale.

Nintendos presentation is also the last one, so their push is also always at the end



06/12/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 23 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 57 (+3) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 65 (-18) - 349.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 96 (-14) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 99 (+1) - 249.99$

PS4 : 36 + 5 = 41 points (-36) ; XBO : 0 points (-2) ; NS : 106 + 44 = 150 points (-1)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 6 (+2) - 349.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (+9) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 24 (-12) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 34 (-7) - 249.99$
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 42 (+2) - 299.99$
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 49 (+3) - 199.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 68 (-22) - 399.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 87 (-10) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 185 + 104 + 68 = 357 points (-37) ; XBO : 84 + 54 + 33 + 14 = 185 points (-46) ; NS : 205 + 165 = 370 points (+55)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite BR SE - 63 (-21)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 71 (-12)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 85 (-16)
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 94 (+11)
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 102 (-17)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 191 (-1)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 80 + 50 = 130 points (-28) ; XBO : 88 points (-22) ; NS : 66 + 58 + 5 = 129 points (-7)

Overall :

1 - NS : 323.0 points (+3.2) ; Month Average : 447.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 234.2 points (-64.2) ; Month Average : 348.6 points/day ; 0.78 (-)
3 - XBO : 162.5 points (-42.6) ; Month Average : 213.7 points/day ; 0.48 (-)