Ryng_Tolu said:
Switch gonna do 25 million in 2018
|
It's possible, but not with Animal Crossing alone (as far as big games go). Unless Labo really pushes it.
Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won
I think Animal crossing and LABO should be enough to do the trick. Especially if there are plenty of good, smaller support titles.
DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.
ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!
In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!
| peachbuggy said: I think Animal crossing and LABO should be enough to do the trick. Especially if there are plenty of good, smaller support titles. |
Isn't that way too ambitious? I still think 20 million at this price is going to be somewhat difficult. Perhaps I am looking at the glass half-empty, but I do genuinely feel that there might even be a chance that the system might lose momentum at this price. Maybe I am catastrophizing, but I think we ought to be more cautious with out predictions. We do not know as of yet what the impact of Labo will be and we do not know some of the system selling franchises that Nintendo might bring this year. In addition, the PS4 has a very strong line up this year (in the West; but Monster Hunter has huge potential to move many units in Japan, maybe even at the expense of Switch considering certain users frustrated with the supply constraints might decide to purchase a PS4 and Monster Hunter instead for this year) and is bound to get more deals like the $200 PS4 (and potentially even a permanent price cut). I just feel there are too many uncertainties and obstacles that Switch has to cross not only to reach 20 million but even maintain its current momentum.
nemo37 said:
Isn't that way too ambitious? I still think 20 million at this price is going to be somewhat difficult. Perhaps I am looking at the glass half-empty, but I do genuinely feel that there might even be a chance that the system might lose momentum at this price. Maybe I am catastrophizing, but I think we ought to be more cautious with out predictions. We do not know as of yet what the impact of Labo will be and we do not know some of the system selling franchises that Nintendo might bring this year. In addition, the PS4 has a very strong line up this year (in the West; but Monster Hunter has huge potential to move many units in Japan, maybe even at the expense of Switch considering certain users frustrated with the supply constraints might decide to purchase a PS4 and Monster Hunter instead for this year) and is bound to get more deals like the $200 PS4 (and potentially even a permanent price cut). I just feel there are too many uncertainties and obstacles that Switch has to cross not only to reach 20 million but even maintain its current momentum. |
It's hard indeed to predict the future with so many variables, but just keep in mind that we're at January and the bastard is still selling out without any major releases this month or any date for future major releases. It will easily take the January NPD... that's a start.
Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won
nemo37 said:
Isn't that way too ambitious? I still think 20 million at this price is going to be somewhat difficult. Perhaps I am looking at the glass half-empty, but I do genuinely feel that there might even be a chance that the system might lose momentum at this price. Maybe I am catastrophizing, but I think we ought to be more cautious with out predictions. We do not know as of yet what the impact of Labo will be and we do not know some of the system selling franchises that Nintendo might bring this year. In addition, the PS4 has a very strong line up this year (in the West; but Monster Hunter has huge potential to move many units in Japan, maybe even at the expense of Switch considering certain users frustrated with the supply constraints might decide to purchase a PS4 and Monster Hunter instead for this year) and is bound to get more deals like the $200 PS4 (and potentially even a permanent price cut). I just feel there are too many uncertainties and obstacles that Switch has to cross not only to reach 20 million but even maintain its current momentum. |
The buzz around LABO appears to be massive and if it can stay in the amazon top 10 or 15 places until launch then i think it will do really well and sell quite a few systems. We still don't know a large chunk of the release schedule either. You can guarantee a few big hitters, maybe some big 3rd party title and a heavy hitter around holiday times. Also a lot of Sony fans have been adamant that the Switch is not cannibalising PS4 sales, especially in Japan. So if that is the case then the reverse is almost definitely true. I would say there really isn't any cause for concern. COMG will be a good indicator of LABO's potential, so i guess we will find out soon.
DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.
ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!
In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!
nemo37 said:
Isn't that way too ambitious? I still think 20 million at this price is going to be somewhat difficult. Perhaps I am looking at the glass half-empty, but I do genuinely feel that there might even be a chance that the system might lose momentum at this price. Maybe I am catastrophizing, but I think we ought to be more cautious with out predictions. We do not know as of yet what the impact of Labo will be and we do not know some of the system selling franchises that Nintendo might bring this year. In addition, the PS4 has a very strong line up this year (in the West; but Monster Hunter has huge potential to move many units in Japan, maybe even at the expense of Switch considering certain users frustrated with the supply constraints might decide to purchase a PS4 and Monster Hunter instead for this year) and is bound to get more deals like the $200 PS4 (and potentially even a permanent price cut). I just feel there are too many uncertainties and obstacles that Switch has to cross not only to reach 20 million but even maintain its current momentum. |
There's a lot of positive reaction around Labo, and it's preselling very well. With Yoshi, Kirby and Fire Emblem we already know of 3 other titles for this year; especially Fire Emblem should be pretty big. At E3 there will surely be announced some more games, possibly something new or unexpected old franchise making a comeback - you never know with Nintendo.
The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing
The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/
Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/
nemo37 said:
Isn't that way too ambitious? I still think 20 million at this price is going to be somewhat difficult. Perhaps I am looking at the glass half-empty, but I do genuinely feel that there might even be a chance that the system might lose momentum at this price. Maybe I am catastrophizing, but I think we ought to be more cautious with out predictions. We do not know as of yet what the impact of Labo will be and we do not know some of the system selling franchises that Nintendo might bring this year. In addition, the PS4 has a very strong line up this year (in the West; but Monster Hunter has huge potential to move many units in Japan, maybe even at the expense of Switch considering certain users frustrated with the supply constraints might decide to purchase a PS4 and Monster Hunter instead for this year) and is bound to get more deals like the $200 PS4 (and potentially even a permanent price cut). I just feel there are too many uncertainties and obstacles that Switch has to cross not only to reach 20 million but even maintain its current momentum. |
you are 100% correct people are bullish for no reason, i mean i can understand if switch does over 280k for January NPD but so far the regular months that it had with stock ,its selling on par with ps4/xb1, only December was a break out month, but that's typical for nintendo consoles
All eyes on amazon Japan for the next week.
I would just like to point out that Sony has two forms of digital codes ahead of all competing consoles in the yearlies atm...
13 hours since last update.
HARDWARE:
#21 SNES Classic (down 3)
#24 NS Neon (down 1)
#26 NS Grey (up 1)
#41 PS4 Fool's Edition (down 1)
#56 XB1 (up 1)
#57 PS4 Star Wars (up 9)
#72 PS4 Pro (same)
#80 XB1X (down 11)
SOFTWARE (Pre-orders Only)**:
#04 NS Nintendo LABO - Variety Kit (down 1)*
#13 NS Nintendo LABO - Robot Kit (down 6)*
#19 PS4 God of War Stone Mason's Edition (down 3)*
#40 PS4 Dissidia Final Fantasy (up 1)
Does not affect this month: *
Software outside of the month only gets added if it's in the top 20: **
PS4: 3 in the top 100 / 1 in the top 50 / 0 in the top 20 / 0 in the top 10 / 0 in the top 5
XB1: 2 in the top 100 / 0 in the top 50 / 0 in the top 20 / 0 in the top 10 / 0 in the top 5
NIS: 2 in the top 100 / 2 in the top 50 / 0 in the top 20 / 0 in the top 10 / 0 in the top 5
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