nemo37 said:
Isn't that way too ambitious? I still think 20 million at this price is going to be somewhat difficult. Perhaps I am looking at the glass half-empty, but I do genuinely feel that there might even be a chance that the system might lose momentum at this price. Maybe I am catastrophizing, but I think we ought to be more cautious with out predictions. We do not know as of yet what the impact of Labo will be and we do not know some of the system selling franchises that Nintendo might bring this year. In addition, the PS4 has a very strong line up this year (in the West; but Monster Hunter has huge potential to move many units in Japan, maybe even at the expense of Switch considering certain users frustrated with the supply constraints might decide to purchase a PS4 and Monster Hunter instead for this year) and is bound to get more deals like the $200 PS4 (and potentially even a permanent price cut). I just feel there are too many uncertainties and obstacles that Switch has to cross not only to reach 20 million but even maintain its current momentum. |
The buzz around LABO appears to be massive and if it can stay in the amazon top 10 or 15 places until launch then i think it will do really well and sell quite a few systems. We still don't know a large chunk of the release schedule either. You can guarantee a few big hitters, maybe some big 3rd party title and a heavy hitter around holiday times. Also a lot of Sony fans have been adamant that the Switch is not cannibalising PS4 sales, especially in Japan. So if that is the case then the reverse is almost definitely true. I would say there really isn't any cause for concern. COMG will be a good indicator of LABO's potential, so i guess we will find out soon.
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