RolStoppable said: The biggest problem is that Microsoft won't reveal their numbers, so a definite call can't be made if sales estimates are close. But anyway, I think you are underestimating Xbox One's chances. The 3DS is in the situation that its successor is already out and highly in demand, so the 3DS is relegated to a pure late adopter device as everyone else will pick Nintendo's future, the Switch, as there's no uncertainty. On the other hand, Microsoft's gaming division is in a situation where they have to accept low sales now due to low budget allocations, but will likely stack everything at their disposal into the final quarter of the year. And it just so happens that holiday sales can very well make up for shortcomings in the first nine months of the year. |
A very large number of buyers in the final quarter are families with children that honestly don't know and don't care too intently about what platform is newer/older or more powerful than another. They are, however, price sensitive - and I'm not sure if Xbox competes in this area as well as 3DS just yet. Admittedly, there's a lot MS can do with price incentives and they've proven on that before. However, Microsoft honestly got a lot more mileage with this segment back when they supported Kinect in the 360 era. They are totally without anything mainstream to get the excitement and interest of casuals, let alone core-gaming types who have rather soft impressions of XB1X.
I think the Switch will be out of reach for many of that folk - if only for price and overall retail supply conditions - but can make a mindshare impact with them nonetheless.In it's own way, Switch lifts the overall Nintendo brand to bring attention to 3DS. As Nintendo, if you can't sell a Switch for said reasons - selling a 3DS is of course the next best alternative.
I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016