Hi Guys,

I was going to create a thread on how likely it was for Odyssey to reach 1mil unit sold in Jp.

Upon checking DB sales I think it is very possible.

However:

• only 2 home consolse 3D Mario games passed 1 mil. and Galaxy 1 on Wii sold just over 1.2 mil (the other one being SM64 with 1.91 mil sold)
• the lowest 3D Mario on home console is SM3DWorld 0.75
• this means that even with low selling consoles Mario sales are fairly constant and not much related to console attached rate

2D Mario games however have a much higher attached rate and in close relation to console popularity - next 2D Mario on Switch should do 1 mil very easily as easy as NSMWii imo.

Since I do not see any portable benefit in Mario Odyssey just yet.

By when do you think Mario Odyessey will reach 1 mil sales in Japan alone?

Maybe late February is my guess

Hmm, that's difficult to answer. I'd guess that it'd sell less than Galaxy, but more than 1 million. Not sure how frontloaded it'll be. I'll guess by June.

On the other hand, 3D Land sold 2.15 million according to VGC.

Odyssey will easily cross a million by the end of the year.

This. The hype surrounding it is enormous and Switch is selling at a very fast rate. I think this game will break some sales traditions.

Super Mario 3D Land sales in Japan - 2.15 million, making it the best selling 3D Mario game in that region.

There's the benefit.

In Japan? By early December at the latest. 3D Land took almost two months to get to 1m in Japan and I see Japanese audiences being more motivated to buy games on the Switch.

Yeah, thats my bet as well. 1 million should be doable this year, and if it turns out amazing, maybe 1.5 million LT.

Mario kart 8 deluxe is already at 600,000 in japan so... mario odyssey shouldn't have much trouble