By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Gaming Discussion - Prediction: Switch will sell over 100 million units

Tagged games:

JRPGfan on 25 May 2017
RolStoppable said:
JRPGfan said:

Yep, I think when Playstation 5 & Xbox Two launch, Nintendo does a Switch 2.

The technology will have advanced enough to warrent it by then, and they ll want to try and keep atleast somewhat up with the other 2.

So they can still get some 3rd party support.

 

2020 or 2021.

Don't you realize that portable technology will only reach standard PS4 level by 2020?

Also important, why would Nintendo want to keep up with the PS5 when Switch sells well anyway?

Because if they dont, alot of 3rd party games that come out for PS5/XB2, likely wont be able to play on the Switch.



Around the Network
the_dengle on 25 May 2017
Soundwave said:

They'll have both anyway. 

Model revisions are simply good for business. No two ways around it. 

Next fiscal year they need to move 14-15 million Switch systems no questions asked at least if its going to have any shot at 100 mill within a reasonable time frame. 

There will be a new Switch model next year, maybe even two (ala New 3DS XL and New 3DS regular). 

They are on track to sell 14-15 million this fiscal year. What would a price cut accomplish other than losing them money? The Wii was supposed to have remodels, but Nintendo never got around to it because it would have pulled resources away from production of the regular model. The Switch would have to maintain compatibility between console and rock, too. It seems like they accounted for this by focusing on Joycons & accessories for new 'models.'

Just, why force a new model into the market if it isn't needed?

p0isonparadise said:

Possibly, I just think Switch will have a more difficult time in Europe/Australia due to it's price.

Well, 4 mil apiece in NA and JP looks pretty solid. So it would have to do reeaally poorly in Europe to wind up around 10 mil.



jonathanalis on 25 May 2017

give me a much cheaper mini switch, and its possible for the switch ecosystem to sell 100M.



Slarvax on 25 May 2017
the_dengle said:
Soundwave said:

They'll have both anyway. 

Model revisions are simply good for business. No two ways around it. 

Next fiscal year they need to move 14-15 million Switch systems no questions asked at least if its going to have any shot at 100 mill within a reasonable time frame. 

There will be a new Switch model next year, maybe even two (ala New 3DS XL and New 3DS regular). 

They are on track to sell 14-15 million this fiscal year. What would a price cut accomplish other than losing them money? The Wii was supposed to have remodels, but Nintendo never got around to it because it would have pulled resources away from production of the regular model. The Switch would have to maintain compatibility between console and rock, too. It seems like they accounted for this by focusing on Joycons & accessories for new 'models.'

Just, why force a new model into the market if it isn't needed?

But Nintendo does force new models into the market. The 2DS didn't do them any favours, same with GBA micro and to some extent the DSi XL.

Newer models could be very favourable because they use resources more efficiently. I doubt they'll introduce a Switch Lite before Q4 2018, but there's no doubt in my mind they will make a new model.



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

j.thomaz on 25 May 2017
zorg1000 said:
Azuren said:

Feel free to look it up.

If we were strictly talking about home consoles you may have a point but you said "Nintendo as a whole" so you can't just ignore the side of their business that has made up about 70% of their hardware sales in the last 20 years.

 

NES+G&W-104 million

SNES+GB-113 million

N64+GBC-87 million

GC+GBA-103 million

Wii+DS-255 million

Wii U+3DS-will finish over 85 million

 

I dont see a constant decline, i see relative stability (85-115 million) in 5/6 generations with one that did significantly better.

I like your analysis. Thank you for it.



Around the Network
Boost6 on 25 May 2017

No chance with out the big 3rd parties and the time generational time frame is not positive. Lacking power is not helping either. Sony would have to pull a wwiu with PS5 for Switch to break +70m. Ms getting their shit right for the next gen would not help matters also.



Skeeuk on 25 May 2017

its going to go out of fashion soon just you watch



...not much time to post anymore, used to be awesome on here really good fond memories from VGchartz...

PSN: Skeeuk - XBL: SkeeUK - PC: Skeeuk

really miss the VGCHARTZ of 2008 - 2013...

p0isonparadise on 25 May 2017
Skeeuk said:

its going to go out of fashion soon just you watch

Hm, People said the exact same thing 10 years ago. 



NintendoPie on 25 May 2017
j.thomaz said:
100 m is 210k per week during 4 years. It is way too much, I still go with my 70-80 million.
Lawlight said:
j.thomaz said:
100 m is 210k per week during 4 years. It is way too much, I still go with my 70-80 million.

It's actually 480k per week for 4 years.

Yes because simple division over time is how we do all predictions and we don't bother to account for any possible high weeks... such as maybe the holidays.

Skeeuk said:

its going to go out of fashion soon just you watch

Noted.



Anfebious on 25 May 2017
TheWPCTraveler said:
Anfebious said:

Still waiting on that one.

You can bet your ass that Sony will counter the Switch. But it won't come out at least until a couple of years down the road.

The one I was trying to finish downloading was a torrent on nyaa. Unfortunately, I found out two days ago that nyaa is down, forever. There is a replacement, but I'm still checking whether the seeders kept up their work.

Get your ass in motion I want my damn touhou music.



"I've Underestimated the Horse Power from Mario Kart 8, I'll Never Doubt the WiiU's Engine Again"