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Horizon Zero Dawn Predicted To Sell 8 Million Units, Close To Uncharted 4

Forums - Sales Discussion - Horizon Zero Dawn Predicted To Sell 8 Million Units, Close To Uncharted 4

It's funny, predicting it would sell 4-5 million copies was perfectly reasonable. I don't think anyone guessed it would sell nearly 8 million units in its first year.



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When PS4 has a huuuge user base of almost 80 million.. its exclusive games better sell at least 8-10 million. Nothing impressive to me.



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FattyDingDong said:
When PS4 has a huuuge user base of almost 80 million.. its exclusive games better sell at least 8-10 million. Nothing impressive to me.

Because exclusive games on the PS3/360 regularly sold 8-10m right?

No 8-10m isn't the norm just because it's selling to a 75m installbase, (around 55m at launch).

Even Wii games on that it installbase such as SMG2 didn't reach the 8m mark.



LTD: PS4 - 125m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 51m

2020: PS4 - 9m, Switch - 22.5m, XBO - 2.5m, PS5 - 4.5m, XBX - 2.8m

6M+ was my prediction, pretty decent guess right now, will look low in the end, tho.



Haha, this thread is great. This must be how people felt reading my 5 million q4 prediction for Super Mario Odyssey



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Teeqoz said:
Haha, this thread is great. This must be how people felt reading my 5 million q4 prediction for Super Mario Odyssey

What prediction?



2020 predictions: NSW 21m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 9m, XB1 3m
(PS5 and XSX predictions will most likely change after we know enough about them)

FattyDingDong said:
When PS4 has a huuuge user base of almost 80 million.. its exclusive games better sell at least 8-10 million. Nothing impressive to me.

Well, people should have taken that into account when predicting sales for the game, then.



FattyDingDong said:
When PS4 has a huuuge user base of almost 80 million.. its exclusive games better sell at least 8-10 million. Nothing impressive to me.

Yeah, sure, cause there are so many new ip that can make +8M in the frist year, rigth. S/

 

Anyway, horizon is doing amazing numbers! Who would have thought that? Is it outselling halo?



Prediction: In 5 years Nintendo will Lauch a "Core Mario game"  very similar to Astro Bot. That said, many will Ignore Astro Bot existence and say Nintendo created this concept.

Ryng_Tolu said:
Teeqoz said:
Haha, this thread is great. This must be how people felt reading my 5 million q4 prediction for Super Mario Odyssey

What prediction?

It was a thread where we were asked to predict Nintendo's numbers from their Q4 financials. Stuff like BotW lifetime shipments, MK8D lifetime shipments, etc.

I did some very quick guesstimates, and most were pretty good, but I seriously underestimated SMO.



Manlytears said:
FattyDingDong said:
When PS4 has a huuuge user base of almost 80 million.. its exclusive games better sell at least 8-10 million. Nothing impressive to me.

Yeah, sure, cause there are so many new ip that can make +8M in the frist year, rigth. S/

 

Anyway, horizon is doing amazing numbers! Who would have thought that? Is it outselling halo?

It may end up outselling every Halo but 3.