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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Digitimes Rumor: Nintendo to ship 10-12m NX units in 2016

Ck1x on 30 November 2015

So rumors pop up about suppliers gearing up for the NX and people can't wait to pick it apart based on what, the expected shipment amount? It's not like Nintendo has released any concrete info on the system or that this is the expected sell through amount from them. People just see it as a number higher than something Sony threw out years ago for PS4 and suddenly everything is impossible or doubtful.

Do I expect the system to sell that much in its first holiday based off of no information, no. But I'm not so stupid to believe that because a company has had down times that they can't bounce back ever. Business isn't ran on fanboy fumes and it's pretty crazy to see people saying stuff like Nintendo can never get any market share back. But some of these same people whole heartedly believe that Sony will draw in the casual market with PSVR, even though there are no facts to back that up or that interest is even on that level.



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tbone51 on 30 November 2015
NightDragon83 said:
They expect to ship between 10-12 million units by end of '16? They better be selling this thing for under $200...


Or 3-4mil for NX:Home and 7mil-8mil for NX:Portable :o



OneKartVita on 30 November 2015
leo-j said:
Insidb said:
If this is true and the NX is on or near par with PS4/X1, this could drastically alter the landscape and likely be very influential to MS' future Xbox division decisions. While the PS4/X1 have the power, they don't have the legendary franchises (Mario, DK, Link, etc.). If the NX rolls in with comparable power, it will most likely get 3rd party support and eat into the marketshare of the 2nd largest console.


sony does have UNCHARTED, GOD OF WAR, GRAN TURISMO, FINAL FANTASY, METAL GEAR SOLID, and potentially CRASH/JAK as big franchises tho 


The main selling points for Xbox and Playstation that Nintendo doesn't have is 3Rd party titles like cod,  battlefield,  gta, fallout,  far cry etc etc etc.  



DonFerrari on 30 November 2015
Miyamotoo said:
DonFerrari said:
Wyrdness said:

Considering it's rumoured to be both portable and home based or maybe a hybrid it wouldn't be farfetched as that's 2 markets to supply to.


And you think how many will buy 2 versions or how many have been doing it in the past. Because you would almost have to sum their hh and console this gen to achieve 12M on first year having probably only second half of 2016 (it won't release on january if they haven't even release propper info on it. It makes more sense to release info on e3 and release betwen june and october

Why people need to buy 2 versions, handheld and home console are quite different, how many 3DS owners have Wii U!? Definitely not many, theoreticly in best case one of five.

You realise that 3DS/Wii U combined had shipment around 15-20m in their first year!? So it not unusual that Nintendo is targeting 20m of NX devices in first year.


That is the point, if they don't need to buy both them you can't sum both their numbers.

You said best case is one of five (that would mean all 3DS owners have a WiiU, it isn't impossible, but also not likely)... But on a 50M 3DS and 10M WiiU userbase how much is their combined userbase? Something along 50 and 60M... ignoring multiple 3DS owners, I would say their combined is like 52-55M.

So if their combined was 15-20M I have very strong reasons to not believe they can make 20M on NX



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Pavolink on 30 November 2015
tbone51 said:
NightDragon83 said:
They expect to ship between 10-12 million units by end of '16? They better be selling this thing for under $200...


Or 3-4mil for NX:Home and 7mil-8mil for NX:Portable :o


Yep, and by 2016 it could means fiscal year, so it ends March 2017. Basically, those seems to be reasonable numbers and in line with Wii U/3DS performance.



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


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DonFerrari on 30 November 2015
Wyrdness said:
DonFerrari said:


And you think how many will buy 2 versions or how many have been doing it in the past. Because you would almost have to sum their hh and console this gen to achieve 12M on first year having probably only second half of 2016 (it won't release on january if they haven't even release propper info on it. It makes more sense to release info on e3 and release betwen june and october


Who says people need to buy two versions? You only need one as both devices are rumoured to share a library, it's pretty much certain if it's two devices they'll use the unified platform.

As someone mentioned 3DS and Wii U shipments combined equal that easy.

That would diminish the total sales of people that bought WiiU and 3DS, thats is why I think 20M isn't reachable.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

MartinD on 30 November 2015

And who shall buy it? I mean people just think if x1 or ps4 this christmas.and you really think theyll get a new console under the tree next year? Surely not..m



Watch my NES Mini

LipeJJ on 30 November 2015

I don't know what to think anymore, I just hope the system is great and sells well. That said, the 3DS is needing a replacement as it is too outdated right now. .-.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

se7en7thre3 on 30 November 2015

what can we extrapolate in terms of what the product will be, with 10-12 mil shipments?

If its one product, I think its a lock that NX will be priced no higher than $249. If Ninty starts with 2 products in the NX line, then its possibly 8-10 mil for the portable ($199) and 2-4 mil home console ($299).



Roronaa_chan on 30 November 2015