Hardware Comparison Threads:

Exactly this.

I still think 2 million is on the borders of crazy, we don't really have data besides reports of 80% sellthrough in Japan on initial shipment, which is not uncommon for games with good pre-order numbers and many seem to assume that it will do amazingly in the US (about double that of Japan FW) while I think that this could be its weakest region by some margin, relative to market size, price and lack of content being the primary reasons.

And I still don't  believe this will be a so called evergreen title; a game built almost entirely on online community and shooting has no history or pedigree on any Nintendo platform and there are an endless number of alternatives for someone who wants competitive online multiplayer, most of these being both bigger and filled with more content.

It's not going to be close to 3 million, you're right... Let's cross 1 million first and celebrate that and then see the drop-off in weeks 2,3 and 4 and make another guess. Better yet; let's see what happens in 2016, it will surely depend on great long-term sales to reach into the several million territory.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=202606&page=1

5m thread soon?

3mil thread seems tooooo EASY By now

4mil thread seems to be a good goal, still up in the air

5mil thread seems to be a stretch but not impossible anymore, maybe i should do one? ;-D

If it happens, I hope someone necros this post, just to get me perma banned  

Hope it sells well though. 

Why are you doing this to this poor game? Putting ideas out there of Mario like sales is setting it up for disappointment.  Have modest expectations, like 1million and if it gets a lot over that then have a big party. If you put ideas of 4 million into people's heads then selling ~2 million will be perceived as low.