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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: WiiU to hit 10m sold after E3 2015

 

WiiU to hit 10m sold after E3 2015

Before E3 119 60.71%
 
During E3 15 7.65%
 
After E3 62 31.63%
 
Total:196
Scharfek said:
Aerys said:
Without price cut, it will reach 10M only in August ( i dont think Xenoblade will push consoles, and Zelda will certainly not release this year so what's left ?)


Splatoon and Mario Maker... both will release on the first half of 2015, and, considering the fact that these games were made with the gamepad concept in mind, they could be bundled with the Wii U.

I'm not saying they are going to save the Wii U or anything like that, but I believe Splatoon and Mario Maker will become million sellers.


But wont be system sellers, they'll be almost useless to sell consoles



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

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Didn't realise it was still 130k overtracked in the US.



 

Seece said:
Didn't realise it was still 130k overtracked in the US.

Looks like it has been adjusted.  Only about 37k over now.



Yakuzaice said:
Seece said:
Didn't realise it was still 130k overtracked in the US.

Looks like it has been adjusted.  Only about 37k over now.

Nope, LTD is still 130k higher than what NPD have it at.



 

AnthonyW86 said:
Seece said:

So it looks like WiiU is on track to hit 9m (with a bit of luck it could do a little higher) by 2015. I looked at how long it took WiiU to sell 1m from Jan 4th~ this year, and it takes me to June 14th.


Sorry but 9m at the end of the year is not very likely. Wii-U is overtracked here at VGC, it was overtracked in November by 100k in the U.S. alone. And with the insane competition between PS4 and XBOne it seems Wii-U might actually sell worse this holiday than it did last year.


adjustments were alreadymade for the 100k (though still overtracked by about 40k-70k in the US last i remember.



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Ljink96 said:
No wonder they've already started development on a new console.

Nintendo always start working on new console after releasing last one.



Seece said:

Nope, LTD is still 130k higher than what NPD have it at.

Ah, I was only looking at November.



Average of 50 k per week @ 25 weeks would leave us with 1.5 million units sold between January and June. Just very approx but 50k per week with a game every month is a decent estimate. If you're looking at 9 million by years end, that would mean around 10.5 million by E3. 

 

10 million after e3 would mean an average of less than 40k a week from jam through June. 



tbone51 said:
AnthonyW86 said:
Seece said:

So it looks like WiiU is on track to hit 9m (with a bit of luck it could do a little higher) by 2015. I looked at how long it took WiiU to sell 1m from Jan 4th~ this year, and it takes me to June 14th.


Sorry but 9m at the end of the year is not very likely. Wii-U is overtracked here at VGC, it was overtracked in November by 100k in the U.S. alone. And with the insane competition between PS4 and XBOne it seems Wii-U might actually sell worse this holiday than it did last year.


adjustments were alreadymade for the 100k (though still overtracked by about 40k-70k in the US last i remember.

130k.

NPD LTD of WiiU is 3,085,000 and we have 3,212,000

 

127k gap.



 

Aerys said:
Without price cut, it will reach 10M only in August ( i dont think Xenoblade will push consoles, and Zelda will certainly not release this year so what's left ?)


What makes Zelda certainly not release next year? You sound as if its guaranteed? Something i dont know about :0