So what will be baselines for consoles and handhelds next year? By baselines, I mean the absolute LOWEST the console will sell that year, no matter the circumstance. Even though they probably will pick up, this is just how they will start the year or how they'll be during a drought.

My predictions: (please don't complain. I'm not saying any of these will consistently sell that much the entire year, but it will be the lowest they see.

3DS-85k base

PSV-10k base

Wii U-60k base

XB1-80k base

PS4-120k base

Last gen:

PS3-15k

XB360-10k

I think you've got the Xbone and especially Wii U way too close to the PS4 there.

And the Vita will do more than 10k in Japan alone. Plus, it looks like a hit in China.

This seems pretty accurate. Though I can see XB1 being slightly lower when the price increases and there's a drought.

3DS - 80k
PS Vita - 40k
Wii U - 55k
Xbox One - 75k
PS4 - 130k

If the New 3DS catches up on the west then I can see that number happening, for WiiU is too high and for XB1 & PS4 is too low.

Your Wii U seems to be pretty optimistic.

It's anyone's guess what the baselines for PS4 and X1 will be. I don't think we will see actual baselines before June. Too many good games coming out.

3DS - 80k

PS Vita - 15k

Wii U - 40k

Xbox One - 70k

PS4 - 100k

PS3 - 10k

X360 - N/A (I think it'll no longer be tracked)

Ouya - 2 million

Heres my guess!

3DS - 80k
PS Vita - 10k
Wii U - 50k
Xbox One - 75k
PS4 - 100k
Ouya - 69 million

Dat Ouya doe.

It seems people are underestimating PS4. Shouldn't the baseline be higher in the second year?

The lowest week PS4 had in 2014 was 128k! Its baseline was around 140k.