Purple said:
DrDoomz said:
1) Announcing "over 10 million" makes the announcement itself very clear and quanitfiable. As there is no other way to interpret "over 10 million" outisde of the figure being above 10 million. The whole point to being misleading in advertising is to be as ambigious and open to (mis)interpretation as you can.
2) No, it's stupid marketing. From what I'm reading you have little practical knowledge of how marketing comminication works. You're basically saying that they'd risk loing their credibility and the goodwill from gamers that they managed to wrest from their competitors for the sole purpose of announcing a milestone that would have minimal (if any) effect on their sales. The risk/reward is retardedly bad. If anything, granted that they may be estimating their numbers (with a much better margin of error than VGC could ever attain due to access to internal numbers as well as what is publicly available), chances are they would estimate rounding down to avoid being wrong.
3) Except for the fact that they announced "sold thru to consumers" and "not shipped"...!
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On the contrary I have ample experience of marketing in the real world. There is no way of ever truly knowing how many PS4's have been sold through to consumers. There is absolutely no risk in claiming they've sold in excess of 10 million. If it is possible from their data that there could be in excess of 10 million sold through, that's what they're going to tell us.
I feel you're being very naive if you think companies don't fudge the data a little to tell a nice story. And you clearly work in a much more honest and less outcome focussed sector than myself. Which I envy you for!
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"Marketing in the real world", I hope you don't mean sales or retail (we don't really see that as "real marketing" even tho it does fall within the classification). Which would still mean you have little working knowledge of marketing communication. I've got 13 years marketing experience which include marketing studies (competitor analysis, best use, industry/pricing studies) as well as advertising. If you are in marketing then I don't get how you can't seem to see that by the very language Sony used (no ambiguity, clear concise wording, clariffication of possible misinterpretations) that they were extremely sure of the numbers they were using. I really can't figure out how you can't see this.
Yes, I agree. There is no way to get it at 100% accuracy. What I DID say is that Sony can get an estimate based on their internal sales numbers (from retailers/distributors that report their consumer sales) as well as external marketing research firms (like NPD) and use that information (extrapolating via trends) the same way VGC does and come up with a far more accurate number with a much less margin of error. And that with the risk attached to getting caught lying vs the benefits of announcing a milestone, that they would most likely err on the side of safety than try to inflate their numbers.
And yes, I've had competitors "fudge their numbers" in the industry I'm in. (I've never done it, personally). But this has always been internal figure announcements or unofficial leaks (where announcing higher than true sales numbers has a lower chance of getting caught as well as a clear benefit) rather than press conferences (high scrutiny, high chance of getting caught, high risk, bad consequences, low benefit). You'll have to assume that Sony is stupid to mess around with falsely announcing sales figures, especially with MS just waiting for them to slip up.
edit. Reread what I wrote. Didn't mean to come out as pompous. Nor am I bashing sales/retail. I actually started in Sales, so no offense.