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Locked: PREDICTION: WII U WILL SELL MORE THAN XBOX ONE

Forums - Sales Discussion - PREDICTION: WII U WILL SELL MORE THAN XBOX ONE

Do you think this will happen?

yes 784 58.77%
 
no 548 41.08%
 
Total:1,332
Qwark said:
Haha sure and it's going to outperform the PS4 right after it, face it even most opportunist are thinking that the Wii U will not outsell GCN, or not by much anyway.


you never can be sure 100%. Sometimes its just 1 hype or 1 game that can change everything. Remember the gameboy? Bad sales, but then boom pokemon arrived.



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JNK said:
Qwark said:
Haha sure and it's going to outperform the PS4 right after it, face it even most opportunist are thinking that the Wii U will not outsell GCN, or not by much anyway.


you never can be sure 100%. Sometimes its just 1 hype or 1 game that can change everything. Remember the gameboy? Bad sales, but then boom pokemon arrived.

Okay fair enough 95% but even with such a game announced this E3 I couldn't see the Wii U climbing above 30million. Yes that's me including a pokemon open world game. The Xone I suspect to hit the 50 million mark eventually. 



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

JNK said:
Qwark said:
Haha sure and it's going to outperform the PS4 right after it, face it even most opportunist are thinking that the Wii U will not outsell GCN, or not by much anyway.

you never can be sure 100%. Sometimes its just 1 hype or 1 game that can change everything. Remember the gameboy? Bad sales, but then boom pokemon arrived.

Pokemon has done its part, but it wasn't the only reason for the better GameBoy sales.

The GameBoy Pocket was a lot less clunky and heavy (the handheld got more portable) and didn't drain the batteries as fast. And in 1998 followed the GameBoy Color, which was the first model that interested me. The addition of colors was a huge graphical leap.



Bumping this. I'm going to love to see how people react when seeing this...

User was warned for this post



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

Haha! People actually thought this at one point?



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I admit full-stop that I thought this was a possibility back in June 2014. Don't forget that Mario Kart 8 had just released and the Wii U was outselling XOne week-on-week for pretty much that whole month. The Xbox One also had been on the market about 1/3 as long as the Wii U and it's sales were way behind in absolute numbers.

Obviously, this was wishful thinking on the part of us Nintendo fans. The XOne is mopping the floor with the Wii U and could possibly even outsell the 3DS depending on how long the generation lasts.



Shadow1980 said:
I think the XBO will go on to outsell the Wii U by a roughly two-to-one ratio. I think the final count will be:

PS4: 100M minimum
XBO: 35-40M
Wii U: 15-20M (~18M most likely)
Shadow1980 said:

The Wii U sold 1.2 million globally by the end of June according to VGC estimates. Assuming it's at 2 million by the end of September and its Q4 sales represent half of the year's sales, that puts it at 4 million for the year and 9.4 million lifetime (though is Smash is a big enough system seller it could end the year at over 10 million). Unless it gets a price cut that gives an unbelievably huge long-term boost to sales next year, I don't see it having YoY sales growth next year at all, much less the amount it would need to pass 15 million by the end of 2015. At best, it'll stay flat or have a modest decrease. I simply don't see any scenario where 2014 isn't the peak year, and 20 million lifetime is an absolute best-case scenario. It will probably pass 13 million next year and hit 15 million in 2016 and maybe 17-18 million by time it is discontinued (likely before the decade is out).


Well, I certainly wasn't predicting it. In fact, I've since revised my lifetime XBO prediction. For a while now I've thought it will reach up to 45-50M. Depending on when the Wii U's replacement comes out, it might not reach 18M. It'll probably finish in the 16-17M range.

EDIT: I almost didn't notice this was also the thread where my first and only bet here on VGC was made. It's kinda funny how this thread got bumped shortly after the bet was resolved.



padib said:
Fusioncode said:
Didn't you hear? PS4 and WiiU are the ones duking it out.

They are actually. The PS4 will gobble up most of the X1's market and the U will sell about half of what the Wii sold. So PS4 will end up selling 100m, WiiU 50m and X1 likely 40m.

That was a very optimistic Wii U prediction,  and it wasn't as it the writing wasn't on the wall! 





Locking - this thread has now been bumped twice, for no good reason.



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