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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Prediction League Round 3: May 3 USA - Closed, results are in!

kirby007 on 05 May 2014

Last 3 days to participate!



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

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ethomaz on 05 May 2014

HARDWARE

PS4  50000
XO  48000
WiiU  10000
3DS  35000
Vita  3000

SOFTWARE

Kirby: Triple deluxe (3ds)  12000
The Amazing spider-man 2 (ps4)  24000
Titanfall (xo)  28000
Mario Golf: World Tour (3ds)  8000


kirby007 on 06 May 2014

bum



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

kirby007 on 08 May 2014

DUE to software being in closed early



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

kirby007 on 08 May 2014

looking at the prelim on the software side we don't have any prediction within 1%
Carl did predict within 2% of Kirby: Triple Deluxe

 

Predictors K:TD TAS2 ps4 TF xo MG:WT
kirby007 -11,99% 35,88% 37,30% -12,88%
Ka-pi96 -73,06% 136,01% 44,79% -63,70%
Jizz_Beard_thePirate 16,75% 114,55% 149,64% 263,00%
AlphaCielago 85,01% 60,92% 19,83% 230,33%
Welfare 76,02% 218,25% 10,84% 263,00%
Skidonti 36,51% 96,67% 4,85% 128,69%
BHR-3 -42,52% 71,64% 24,82% 143,21%
Nicklesbe 38,31% 75,22% -12,62% 135,95%
PDF 4,18% 60,92% 4,85% 143,94%
Carl2291 -1,21% 43,04% 32,31% 8,90%
Burek -49,71% -15,97% -6,38% 95,11%
ethomaz -78,45% -14,18% -30,10% -70,96%


 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

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Carl on 08 May 2014

Consider this some early gloating.

Will fall flat on my face if the hardware predictions suck.



                            

kirby007 on 09 May 2014

 

 

PS4 XO WiiU 3DS Vita K:TD TAS2 ps4 TF xo MG:WT
Actual numbers 48.257 50.092 10.965 26.873 2.252 55.674 27.965 40.057 27.548
Predictors
kirby007 56.500 60.000 13.250 34.000 2.200 49.000 38.000 55.000 24.000
Ka-pi96 57.000 57.000 12.000 40.000 2.300 15.000 66.000 58.000 10.000
Jizz_Beard_thePirate 54.000 55.000 17.000 60.000 10.000 65.000 60.000 100.000 100.000
AlphaCielago 46.000 57.000 13.000 41.000 2.300 103.000 45.000 48.000 91.000
Welfare 47.200 54.000 13.100 36.400 1.600 98.000 89.000 44.400 100.000
Skidonti 48.000 53.000 14.200 41.000 2.100 76.000 55.000 42.000 63.000
BHR-3 55.000 59.000 13.100 35.000 2.200 32.000 48.000 50.000 67.000
Nicklesbe 57.050 49.030 14.050 39.000 2.100 77.000 49.000 35.000 65.000
PDF 52.000 54.000 13.500 34.000 2.200 58.000 45.000 42.000 67.200
Carl2291 45.000 55.000 12.500 30.000 2.000 55.000 40.000 53.000 30.000
Burek 48.500 43.000 11.500 36.500 1.900 28.000 23.500 37.500 53.750
ethomaz 50.000 48.000 10.000 35.000 3.000 12.000 24.000 28.000 8.000

 

 

RESULTS
Predictors PS4 XO WiiU 3DS Vita K:TD TAS2 ps4 TF xo MG:WT
kirby007 17,08% 19,78% 20,84% 26,52% -2,31% -11,99% 35,88% 37,30% -12,88%
Ka-pi96 18,12% 13,79% 9,44% 48,85% 2,13% -73,06% 136,01% 44,79% -63,70%
Jizz_Beard_thePirate 11,90% 9,80% 55,04% 123,27% 344,05% 16,75% 114,55% 149,64% 263,00%
AlphaCielago -4,68% 13,79% 18,56% 52,57% 2,13% 85,01% 60,92% 19,83% 230,33%
Welfare -2,19% 7,80% 19,47% 35,45% -28,95% 76,02% 218,25% 10,84% 263,00%
Skidonti -0,53% 5,81% 29,50% 52,57% -6,75% 36,51% 96,67% 4,85% 128,69%
BHR-3 13,97% 17,78% 19,47% 30,24% -2,31% -42,52% 71,64% 24,82% 143,21%
Nicklesbe 18,22% -2,12% 28,13% 45,13% -6,75% 38,31% 75,22% -12,62% 135,95%
PDF 7,76% 7,80% 23,12% 26,52% -2,31% 4,18% 60,92% 4,85% 143,94%
Carl2291 -6,75% 9,80% 14,00% 11,64% -11,19% -1,21% 43,04% 32,31% 8,90%
Burek 0,50% -14,16% 4,88% 35,82% -15,63% -49,71% -15,97% -6,38% 95,11%
ethomaz 3,61% -4,18% -8,80% 30,24% 33,21% -78,45% -14,18% -30,10% -70,96%

Total result this round ( lowest score being the best result )

 

Predictors score
Carl2291 0,15
kirby007 0,21
Burek 0,26
ethomaz 0,30
PDF 0,31
Skidonti 0,40
Nicklesbe 0,40
BHR-3 0,41
Ka-pi96 0,46
AlphaCielago 0,54
Welfare 0,74
Jizz_Beard_thePirate 1,21


 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Burek on 09 May 2014

Alright, i am extremely pleased with my first attempt at this. And I was the best predictor for PS4 and WiiU.

Is VGC hiring? :)



kirby007 on 09 May 2014

Being within one % is quite an achievement!
If it wasn't for the 3DS software you would be ranked first



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Burek on 09 May 2014
kirby007 said:
Being within one % is quite an achievement!
If it wasn't for the 3DS software you would be ranked first


Well, as i said somewhere yesterday, I have no clue about 3DS, and with two games there I had no chance. As soon as I see "Mario" I put down 5 million and call it an under-estimation :))