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Forums - Sales Discussion - COMG! Japan Pre-order Chart Thread - Daily updates!

Ryng on 03 April 2015

come on Bravely second...



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outlawauron on 03 April 2015
tbone51 said:
Clyde32 said:


This is just the first day for Xenoblade 3D, it could do more.


Well of course but the 100k shipment needs to be correct. That said i think 100k shipped is a good number for the title, i hope it does 500k+ WW (and maybe 125k in japan lifetime)

I think you're lowballing the series. The IP is far more popular than it was on the Wii. The much greater exposure given to the series by Nintendo in response should raise expectations. Stop using userbase as a crutch, it's largely irrelevant with a non-mainstream JRPG.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

rutea7 on 03 April 2015

surprised to see atelier on 3ds, are they testing the waters?



tbone51 on 03 April 2015
outlawauron said:
tbone51 said:


Well of course but the 100k shipment needs to be correct. That said i think 100k shipped is a good number for the title, i hope it does 500k+ WW (and maybe 125k in japan lifetime)

I think you're lowballing the series. The IP is far more popular than it was on the Wii. The much greater exposure given to the series by Nintendo in response should raise expectations. Stop using userbase as a crutch, it's largely irrelevant with a non-mainstream JRPG.


What? Im not lowballing, your highballing! The IP might be more popular than it was when it first came out, but its still a port of a 65k-70k FW game (lifetime a little over 150k?).

Its not just gonna do 100k+ FW now because Shulk's in SSB.

Also whats wrong with 500k+ WW for XC3D? Thats pretty damn good for a port (of a 800k/900k seller), and yes install base would take part (it doesn't mean everything, but it does play a factor), a niche title sold under a million on wii, vs N3ds where in the west is probably going to be just over a million when XC3D comes out.



ktay95 on 03 April 2015

Hold on a fucking second, I don't care if this is off topic.
Kerotan was a FlamingWeazel alt this whole fucking time?? O_O
WTF, Kerotan seemed like a rather genuine member around here ='(
Sad to see him gone.



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Dr.Vita on 03 April 2015
ktay95 said:
Hold on a fucking second, I don't care if this is off topic.
Kerotan was a FlamingWeazel alt this whole fucking time?? O_O
WTF, Kerotan seemed like a rather genuine member around here ='(
Sad to see him gone.


I said the same 2 days ago...




Dr.Vita talks about Playstation Vita in 2016!
Playstation Vita Media Create Sales (2014 vs 2015 vs 2016)
Playstation Vita Japan Retail Software Sales (2013 vs 2014 vs 2015 + 2015 LTD Edition)
Prediction: Nothing will outsell PSP anymore (except Playstation home consoles)

ZODIARKrebirth on 03 April 2015

Not really a big day, but kancolle is still suprising me...



Materia-Blade on 03 April 2015
tbone51 said:
ktay95 said:

XB3D >> XBX in Japan =P


Nah, XCX will open up with 90k-110k FW, do 150k+ lifetime, watch :)

It will do much more than that.



outlawauron on 03 April 2015
tbone51 said:
outlawauron said:

I think you're lowballing the series. The IP is far more popular than it was on the Wii. The much greater exposure given to the series by Nintendo in response should raise expectations. Stop using userbase as a crutch, it's largely irrelevant with a non-mainstream JRPG.

What? Im not lowballing, your highballing! The IP might be more popular than it was when it first came out, but its still a port of a 65k-70k FW game (lifetime a little over 150k?).

Its not just gonna do 100k+ FW now because Shulk's in SSB.

Also whats wrong with 500k+ WW for XC3D? Thats pretty damn good for a port (of a 800k/900k seller), and yes install base would take part (it doesn't mean everything, but it does play a factor), a niche title sold under a million on wii, vs N3ds where in the west is probably going to be just over a million when XC3D comes out.

I don't think it's reasonable. It's not just Smash but the word of mouth marketing. What the Wii game did isn't as important imo, because Nintendo has invested a lot more into the series. What Xenoblade 3DS does isn't as important, but I'm thinking that XCX should at least double Xenoblade.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

tbone51 on 03 April 2015
outlawauron said:
tbone51 said:

What? Im not lowballing, your highballing! The IP might be more popular than it was when it first came out, but its still a port of a 65k-70k FW game (lifetime a little over 150k?).

Its not just gonna do 100k+ FW now because Shulk's in SSB.

Also whats wrong with 500k+ WW for XC3D? Thats pretty damn good for a port (of a 800k/900k seller), and yes install base would take part (it doesn't mean everything, but it does play a factor), a niche title sold under a million on wii, vs N3ds where in the west is probably going to be just over a million when XC3D comes out.

I don't think it's reasonable. It's not just Smash but the word of mouth marketing. What the Wii game did isn't as important imo, because Nintendo has invested a lot more into the series. What Xenoblade 3DS does isn't as important, but I'm thinking that XCX should at least double Xenoblade.


Thought we were talking XC3D, not XCX? :p

As for sales, at least double is quite alot especially for a wiiu title which many proved hasnt sold that high (excluding SSB/MK/NSMB and toan extent SM3DW)

XC sold around 890k and 160k-180k in japan. Your at least double figures (depending on what your talking about) mean XCX should do over 1.8mil and 320k-350k respectively. I mean it is definitely more popular and i do hope for these sales, but realistically its going to do lower than that, given its also on WiiU. Even SM3DW though it had legs sold 99k-105k (dont remember exact #) FW and that was mid Nov.

XCX im hoping for a 100k op (japan), but i can see it doing 150k+, if it did do 150k+ that in my book would be pretty big. 

Of course im giving my opinion, as its not entirely fact. (though i think its a good reasoning, but hey wateves :0)