6m sold this year, or to reach 6m total? 

I don't even think Nintendo will even ship what you are suggesting. They aren't going to ramp up production to the levels you are suggesting while sales are stagnent. That would lead to massive losses

just to clarify...

are you saying at the end of the year the total lifetime sales of wiiU will be 8-11M or that wiiU will sell 8-11M in 2013?

i can buy into the first. 8M - 2.2M(2012) = 5.8M(2013) and achievable. i know right now wiiU is tracking below vita(2012) and 5.8M is well above vita last year but i do expect the holiday sales to be much better for wiiU than vita was.

if you mean wiiU to sell 8M in 2013. no. i just can't see that big of a turn around. wiiU is going to flounder until some games get released and right now there is nothing (much) notable announced with release dates this side of june. that's too much of a handicap to hit 8M this year even with an amazing turn around.

edit: i see you claryified this while i was posting this.

November to November (or December to December in Japan).

Regardless, I'm thinking more like 5 million by November.  Right now, it's sold less than 3 million after more than 4 months AND a holiday season.  Let's say that somehow Wii U sales pick up to average 75K/week, that's pretty much dead on for 5M come November.  If it averages more like 100K/week, than it's 6M.

Anything more would be extremely unrealistic (unless they surprise us very soon with a price cut).

I say around 9-10 mill. Also I agree with most of what you said.
Approved I say!

Jwood2010 - "I said reach, I did not say it would sell 8-11m this year. It will sell at around 5-8m from now til december. Holidays will be what pushes it to around 5-8m. I dont expect it to sell well until then with big releases."

The first full year on the market ends in November. You seem to want to take 2 holidays and count them both in the same "First full year on the market". You say it will sell 5-8 million starting now, ending in December, but that most of those sales will come in the holidays. The first full year doesn't include holiday 2013. The thread title is wrong, it should read "Wii U to reach 8-11m by the end of 2013" & even that is debatable.

Have fun bringing this thread back at the end of the year with it's miss-stated opening assertion.

To reach 6 million by November, the end of the first full year on the market.

All it needs is to sell 5m.  If it sells the way it is now it will sell 1.25m between now and September.  lets say it sells 30k a week instead. That means it would sell 720k betewwn now and September.  Now considering the WiiU sold 250k during the holiday on an everage week lets throw in Mario Kart U, Zelda Wind Waker, Xenoblade 2, and 3D Mario.  That would more than enough everage between 100-150k for september to november.  Ill be nice and say 125k for 8 weeks.  That comes out to 1m plus the previous 720k.  So far far we are at 1.7m.  Now lets consider Black Friday which will likely result in another 500k.  Now we are at 2.2m  November to January will likely be between 250k 350k weekly. We will shoot for 275k for 8 weeks which comes out to 2.2m  Add the other 2.2m and that comes out to 4.4.  4.4 plus 2.8 is 7.2m which is on my low end of the prediction since I would be 800k off still.  Now considering I took the low end of my prediction, let's say it goes with my high end, which will more than enough push it to 5m units sold this year.  Considering the WiiU sold I think 2.5 m in 6 weeks of 2012 with no games, it should be able to repeat that process with games plus more

Im not saying it sold 2.8 in it's first year.  I clearly stated I expect 5-8m this year.  Read my OP and you will see that.  Reach and Selling is two different things.

Yes revive this.  Whether Im right or wrong I dont expect my prediction to be too far off either way.  

Reach & sell are the same number if they both include the same total time on the market "First full year", November to November.  You should have said "will reach in first full calander year", or "by the end of 2013".
EDIT: Don't blame me for your sloppy writing.