PS-Vita should comfortably outsell kinect lifetime. In fact, I would say it will do its double at least.

Well Kinect is way cheaper, and it is riding the XBox 360s coat-tails. So it's entirely possible...but then again, Vita isn't even 1 year old yet. It hasn't had its first holiday yet....Vita will rise. The easiest way would be a price cut, but that is just a temporary boost, it would go back to doom levels and Sony would be losing a lot of money on a dying handheld.

It seems like Sony isn't support the Vita, but there really isn't much they can do. There's a great library on it, and more coming the next few weeks. That should hopefully put it in a position to outsell the Nintendo DS.(No, not 3DS) this holiday.

Long Story Short: No way to know for sure although from the looks of it, your prediction sounds about right.

Wow, that's truly bold.

I do think the Vita is a huge flop and I agree with Kowenicki that the writing is on the wall, but I have still been thinking in terms of 40 million units or so lifetime.

That's not a bold prediction. Vita probably won't reach Kinect LT.

A bold but completely understandable statement.

I would like to think that wont happen but if Sony doesnt step up soon it just might.

Bring in a new Monster Hunter game for Vita and this thread would be done lol (wishful thinking?)

Vita lifetime 40million+
Kinect 30millon+
So no Vita will beat Kinect.

Bu-bu-but the Vita!

hmm now that you mention it, it doesn't seem too far fetched. It'll be close that's for sure.

Perhaps both.

True. Monster Hunter alone would sell millions and millions of Vitas.(over the course of its lifetime, not all at once obviously)