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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Wii U will sell under 40 million units

JNK said:
Turkish said:

It will sell less than 20 million.


nice prediction :D


He stealth edited his prediction a bit ago.



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Predictions to a console before launch plus the droughts and no 3rd party support. It was evident that high number predictions won't work. Nintendo even admitted about the high price point of the Wii U hence they couldn't really drop the price. It is just steady low expectations plus Japan as we all know isn't that good for home consoles.
Without Splatoon I think Wii U would have more depressing sales.



Ka-pi96 said:
hehe, pretty funny read. A lot of people made themselves look silly.
I think there's something people could learn from this though, a lot of people still claim their 'predictions' as absolute. Doing that just sets you up to look like an idiot if it doesn't happen. Instead people should be more ambiguous, don't say console x WILL sell more than y, instead say console x will LIKELY sell more than y.


^This, so much this.



Proud to be a Californian.

Oh man pretty funny to read this, everybody was so sure it would sell so well and how wrong they all were.

Turkish said:

It will sell less than 20 million.

Except this guy, he knows what's up



Best thread ever. Seriously, this just shows us that you cant predict new gen sales based on how popular they were the prior gen.

Wii - Wii U. From first to third.
PS3 - PS4. From third to first.



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Angelv577 said:
Best thread ever. Seriously, this just shows us that you cant predict new gen sales based on how popular they were the prior gen.

Wii - Wii U. From first to third.
PS3 - PS4. From third to first.


PS3 was second, not third. It's lifetime sales are ahead of the X360 even though it came out a year later.



Kelzus said:

Oh man pretty funny to read this, everybody was so sure it would sell so well and how wrong they all were.

Turkish said:

It will sell less than 20 million.

Except this guy, he knows what's up

That guy recently stealth edited his post to that number. He didn't actually predict it.



 

I didn't expect the *entire* casual audience to abandon Nintendo, I thought they'd be able to hold at least a minority portion of them, but smartphones/tablets have really completely eaten that audience alive.

1/3 of smartphone owners apparently play games on a regular basis every week, that means you're talking about an audience of about 150+ million ... likely a lot of those people playing Candy Crush on phones today were playing Wii Sports maybe 7-8 years prior.



Ryng_Tolu said:

Now, that's starting to be ridiculus...
Man Bear Pig has a EXACTELY prediction with The Vita under 20 Million way More accurate, but Nobody comment here.
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=148183

Seriusly, and then The People say This Site is only Nintendo fans. Seem legit lmao

1. No one cares about the Vita's numbers, even Sony.

2. People say this site has more Nintendo fans (in comparision to Playstation and Xbox), not only.



LuckyTrouble said:
Kelzus said:

Oh man pretty funny to read this, everybody was so sure it would sell so well and how wrong they all were.

Turkish said:

It will sell less than 20 million.

Except this guy, he knows what's up

That guy recently stealth edited his post to that number. He didn't actually predict it.

Oh right, that's pretty sneaky do you know what his original prediction was?