At the end of the 8th Gen I think it'll be around 82 million, so in the 80-89 range.
I don't see it catching Wii numbers, as a lot of the casual crowd and the 'impulse buys' will be lost to Nintendo. I don't see it fail either, because Nintendo fans alone secure like 40-50 million sales, and I think it'll be able to sway some of the PS360 crowd too.
As a Nintendo fan myself, of course I hope it'll be stellar and sells like 200 million, but realistically that's never going to happen :P.