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2nd Qtr 2011 Shipment Predictions

Forums - Sales Discussion - 2nd Qtr 2011 Shipment Predictions

Nintendogamer said:
thismeintiel said:
thismeintiel said:
I'll say:

PS3 - 1.9 mil
360 - 1.7 mil
Wii - 1.7 mil

Sweet!  Got it right.  Don't fail me now, Sony.  Though, I'm starting to doubt my Wii number, may be slightly lower.  But, we'll see soon enough.


How slighly lower? I reckon it will be way lower like 1.09M, I would say 1.4M but will stick to 1.09M to be safe.

Well, I doubt it would be as low as 1.09 mil.  I'm sure retailers ordered more because of the price cut and its initial boost.  So, 1.4-1.5 mil may be right.



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thismeintiel said:
Nintendogamer said:
thismeintiel said:
thismeintiel said:
I'll say:

PS3 - 1.9 mil
360 - 1.7 mil
Wii - 1.7 mil

Sweet!  Got it right.  Don't fail me now, Sony.  Though, I'm starting to doubt my Wii number, may be slightly lower.  But, we'll see soon enough.


How slighly lower? I reckon it will be way lower like 1.09M, I would say 1.4M but will stick to 1.09M to be safe.

Well, I doubt it would be as low as 1.09 mil.  I'm sure retailers ordered more because of the price cut and its initial boost.  So, 1.4-1.5 mil may be right.

I did think 1.5M would be more likely but after NPD showing wii was majorly over tracked I had second thoughts and lowered my prediction.



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http://www.sony.co.jp/SonyInfo/IR/financial/fr/viewer/11q1/
page.11
PS3=1.8m,PSP=1.8m,PS2=1.4m

1 hour later Nintendo's



PS2=1.4m? Really? It's a beast!



Wow, go PS2!



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3DS 0.71m
DS 1.44m
Wii 1.56m
http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2011/110728e.pdf



I was:

0.2 over on 360
0.2 over on PS3
0.24 over on Wii

Not good :/



kowenicki said:
They should be evry very close and as such any one of the three could end up ahead. Thats if we take the vgc numbers as correct. The supply of each of the three was similar. Therefore my wild, wild guess is:

360 - 1.7m
Wii - 1.8m
PS3 - 1.8m

Using VGC numbers:

If Wii ships less than 1.65m, that will mean it is in negative supply.

If PS3 ships less than 1.1m then it would be in negative supply.

If 360 ships less than 1.1m then it would be innegative supply.


360 and PS3 spot on 

Wii 1.56M !!??  dying a quicker death than I thought.  Still i wasnt that far off.



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Link: Shipment History Since 1995


ethomaz said:
Wii 1.5 million
PS3 1.9 million
360 1.7 million

Epic prediction... my best one on VGC.

Wii: on spot  (I'm not using the second decimal)
PS3: 0.1m off (my real prediction was 1.8m but I'm a PS3 fan so 1.9m at end)
360: on spot