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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - [Updated] [Super Bold Prediction] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild Will Sell 20m Lifetime

 

Will it?

Yes 19 24.68%
 
No 33 42.86%
 
It will be very close 25 32.47%
 
Total:77
DonFerrari on 03 May 2018
contestgamer said:
DonFerrari said:

1 - Not all Nintendo games are ever green.

2 - Zelda previous numbers are way below 20M to consider this as something more probable than not hitting 20M.

3 - And there is a very big difference between selling 10M in first year to 20M LT versus suddenly stop.

I dont see it hitting 20. Maybe 16-17 max. That's still niche. Mainstream is minecraft, GTA, COD etc

16M is a very good sale as well



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

contestgamer on 03 May 2018
DonFerrari said:
contestgamer said:

I dont see it hitting 20. Maybe 16-17 max. That's still niche. Mainstream is minecraft, GTA, COD etc

16M is a very good sale as well

It's good, just not really mainstream. 



Roar_Of_War on 03 May 2018
contestgamer said:
DonFerrari said:

1 - Not all Nintendo games are ever green.

2 - Zelda previous numbers are way below 20M to consider this as something more probable than not hitting 20M.

3 - And there is a very big difference between selling 10M in first year to 20M LT versus suddenly stop.

I dont see it hitting 20. Maybe 16-17 max. That's still niche. Mainstream is minecraft, GTA, COD etc

17 million is high tier Pokemon level these days, and those are absolutely mainstream games.

Those are simply top tier mainstream games. It’s still mainstream even if it doesn’t hit 20 million, and it certainly has a chance to hit that. 



Roar_Of_War on 03 May 2018
DonFerrari said:
Roar_Of_War said:

Nintendo games are leg games. You’re thinking of Sony where most fans buy primarily at the start, but Nintendo games have always been more of a full race in comparison, at least for the most part.

Not to mention, Zelda is well beyond its original userbase now and is selling to newcomers/new fans, and selling well at that. It’s already the best selling game in the series so what you said is irrelevant at this point anyway. That comes across as an excuse to believe BOTW will somehow stop selling as well all of a sudden, but again, it’s already the best selling in the series, has been out for over a year, and is still selling great without any deals or editions. There’s no reason to believe that’s going to change as of now. It’s clearly an evergreen title that is going to sell well until the system is dead. Once this game gets everything that Horizon has been graced with, it’s possible enough to reach 20 million.

1 - Not all Nintendo games are ever green.

2 - Zelda previous numbers are way below 20M to consider this as something more probable than not hitting 20M.

3 - And there is a very big difference between selling 10M in first year to 20M LT versus suddenly stop.

1 - BOTW is evergreen, and Nintendo themselves are calling it as such.

2 - BOTW is selling FAR beyond previous Zelda numbers and cannot even be compared or based off previous Zeldas at all. 20 million at it’s current pace is possible. Not guaranteed, just possible at this current rate.

3 - It sold 10 million in barey over a year at FULL price. Most games need to do massive price cuts and bundles/deals to do that, but Zelda has not. Again, this is possible. 20 million is around max that I would expect, but it’s absolutely possible based off what we’ve seen from the games performance thus far. We shall see.



DonFerrari on 03 May 2018
Roar_Of_War said:
DonFerrari said:

1 - Not all Nintendo games are ever green.

2 - Zelda previous numbers are way below 20M to consider this as something more probable than not hitting 20M.

3 - And there is a very big difference between selling 10M in first year to 20M LT versus suddenly stop.

1 - BOTW is evergreen, and Nintendo themselves are calling it as such.

2 - BOTW is selling FAR beyond previous Zelda numbers and cannot even be compared or based off previous Zeldas at all. 20 million at it’s current pace is possible. Not guaranteed, just possible at this current rate.

3 - It sold 10 million in barey over a year at FULL price. Most games need to do massive price cuts and bundles/deals to do that, but Zelda has not. Again, this is possible. 20 million is around max that I would expect, but it’s absolutely possible based off what we’ve seen from the games performance thus far. We shall see.

I'm reviewing my posts and haven't seem any that said it is impossible, just hard.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

MasonADC on 03 May 2018

I still expect Zelda to be packed in with the Switch eventually, and that will absolutely carry it to 20 million. It is crazy to think that BoTW might be better selling than any Pokemon game over the last 15 years.



Roar_Of_War on 03 May 2018
DonFerrari said:
Roar_Of_War said:

1 - BOTW is evergreen, and Nintendo themselves are calling it as such.

2 - BOTW is selling FAR beyond previous Zelda numbers and cannot even be compared or based off previous Zeldas at all. 20 million at it’s current pace is possible. Not guaranteed, just possible at this current rate.

3 - It sold 10 million in barey over a year at FULL price. Most games need to do massive price cuts and bundles/deals to do that, but Zelda has not. Again, this is possible. 20 million is around max that I would expect, but it’s absolutely possible based off what we’ve seen from the games performance thus far. We shall see.

I'm reviewing my posts and haven't seem any that said it is impossible, just hard.

I believe we just disagree on how likely it is. I think it could go either way based off it’s current pace and circumstances.



The_Liquid_Laser on 03 May 2018

All I can say to LipeJJ is

"First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."
-Mahatma Gandhi

People hardly replied to this thread when it was first made. Now that it looks like the prediction is coming true, there are people in here fighting about it.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

DonFerrari on 03 May 2018
Roar_Of_War said:
DonFerrari said:

I'm reviewing my posts and haven't seem any that said it is impossible, just hard.

I believe we just disagree on how likely it is. I think it could go either way based off it’s current pace and circumstances.

I would agree



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Jumpin on 04 May 2018
contestgamer said:
DonFerrari said:

1 - Not all Nintendo games are ever green.

2 - Zelda previous numbers are way below 20M to consider this as something more probable than not hitting 20M.

3 - And there is a very big difference between selling 10M in first year to 20M LT versus suddenly stop.

I dont see it hitting 20. Maybe 16-17 max. That's still niche. Mainstream is minecraft, GTA, COD etc

What defines 16-17 million sales as niche? What do you mean by that and how do you justify your definition?



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.