Oh and here's pachter's analyst awards: "Mr. Pachter has been recognized as StarMine's Top Earnings Estimator year after year and Best on the Street by the Wall Street Journal." - according to his bio just posted

I know.  I know.  I should get a job at Wedbush Morgan just like Pachter has.  This way when I make an off the wall guess about something, it can be immediately recognized as a prediction just like when Mr. Pachter does it.

Let's look at a few of his past predictions:

In 2005 Pachter said, "In 2010, Sony's going to have 55%, Microsoft's going to have 35%, and Nintendo 10%, with all three of those having plus or minus 5%."

A few months later he said, "I don't think there are four million people in the world who really want to play online games every month.  World of Warcraft is such an exception.  I frankly think that it's the buzz factor, and will eventually come back to the mean, maybe a million subscribers."

He also said that he thought that Nintendo would sell better in 2009 with a lower priced Wii without Wii Sports packed in.  As far as I can tell, Wii Sports is the number one reason that the Wii is sold.

Here's a couple of his predictions that I predict will be wrong (you can call them my off the wall guesses).:

He said, "I think that we've seen the last generation of consoles.  (Third party publishers) are not going to support a PS4 or XBox 720."

Also he predicts that the PS Arc will sell for $100, but for some reason the Natal will be affordably priced at $50.

I am not saying that I would be a brilliant analyst either (even with the degrees that he has), but I am pretty sure that I could forecast things that well.

By the way, calling him Da Pac-Man makes you look silly.    

Patcher doesn't get paid for the shit that we post on these forums from him. He gets paid to analyze the companies and their profitability, not the success of video games.

...And from what I understand, he is quite good at it.  It's the one thing that he is good at. 

The nuggets that we read on these forums are statements that he offers up freely.  So either he needs to stop making them or come under some scrutiny.

What that tells is that he's good at short-term predictions but fails completely at understanding the trends in the long-term.

No. What that says is that his employer doesn't care about the success of video games so they pay him for analyzing profitability of companies. 

Step 1. Open mouth
Step 2. Insert foot into mouth
Step 3. Persist that you were right all along

Repeat process.

As Mr. Stickball? He did it somehow i believe.

What you actually mean is that he can analyze the profitability of companies in the short-term... which brings me back to my original point.

He expected Sony to win the console war due to Blu-Ray.. surely that would affect any profitability analysis if he predicted anything more than short-term.

Really I just think that the only predictions that people want to talk about ARE the off the wall ones where you put yourself out on a limb... and thats why he does it.

I mean, he can put on his resume and tell his bosses he's "The best known videogaming analyst out there" and can advertise for them on pdocasts and shit.

I mean can anyone even NAME the second most popualr analyst in the field?