Well the Wii is one week from being one year old so i thought now is a good time to reflect on the Wii's success compared to other great systems, primarily the PS2 and the DS
In its first 49 weeks in the Japanese market the Wii has kept pace with the PS2 (which coincidentally had a larger launch) and has outpaced the DS:
The NA market has been even more fantastic with the Wii running away with the crown:
Even in Europe supposedly dominated by Sony Wii has done very well, beating Sony and coming close to the DS:
So congrats to the Wii on its amazingly successful first year and to many happy returns
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)