Sales wouldn't be better if MWR released 2 years ago with actual advertising?  Seriously?!  Are you high?

Oddly enough, I think sales would have been about the same.

And don't you think the hype of MW2 is helping the sales of MWR? It may not be the same game, but its the closest thing Wii owners have and they're buying it.

No, I don't think it's helping it, if anything it reinforces the superiority in the HD model for established COD fans (why buy that 2 year old game, get the new sequel instead!).  And I think a potential MW2R would be doing dramatically better in it's place had Activision handled the IP properly.

Where do you find this European pre-order chart?

So I bet Chrizum that Madworld would sell 1 million in it's fist year of sales. And while there is still technically 7 weeks to go on that bet, I don't think it's going to move 600 thousand units in that time. Where did I go wrong? I thought the style would give it a broader appeal than the genre normally enjoys and the over the top nature would get it more talked about. But boy, I was wrong.

So Chriz, what shall I do as loser of the bet?

And now that I've lost that one, I'd like to make a new 1 year million sales bet. Red Steel 2.

"But Stof!" you shout, "Ubisoft themselves just cut their projection to 500,000. You really think it will sell twice what the publisher expects!?"

Yes I do. I still think that as the game that delivers on the promises made by Red Steel, it will be a major title. Red Steel sold big on promise but butchered both shooting and sword fighting.  Subsequent FPS's showed us that IR aiming can be so much better than the first Red Steel was and Sports Resort with M+ has showed us that sword fighting can actually be one of the most enjoyable gameplay experiences of all time.

Take one of the best looking Wii games, with an M+ bundle and the ability to shoot and sword fight and I think this game is going to be a legger. I think it'll push 1 million in it's first year, if not by the end of 2010. Any takers on that bet?