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Forums - Sales Discussion - This is one on my biggest prediction for 2010

 

This is one on my biggest prediction for 2010

Yes 27 67.50%
 
No 13 32.50%
 
Total:40

I voted yes, Wii can easily top 70m before the X360 gets to 40m



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And I think everyone knows by now that Wii will spend less time in its 60 millions than it did in its 50 millions, when Wii topped 50 million sometime in March - April, it then went on to top 55 Million in late October. Later on it topped 60 million early December and topped 65 Million only in a few weeks, amazing if you get me. If this year is better than 2009, I believe Wii will easily have a shot at 85 Million before 2011, or 83 Million to be safe. 



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Just to put things into perspective:

The Wii needs to sell 4.42 million before the X360 sells 2.72 million. That's the same as selling 62.5% more.

For 2009 as a whole, the Wii sold 109% more, and in the holiday quarter that was 130% more.

There's very little doubt that the Wii willl make 70 million before the X360 makes 40 million. In fact, it's so obvious I would call it a somewhat poor prediction.

 

Your "Wii will hit 70 million by March" is rather good, though. If it sold as well as it did last year, the Wii would make it by 50K (excluding future adjustments of previous data). Essentially, your prediction would be that Q1 2010 would > Q1 2009, which is rather interesting.

 



Pineapple said:

Just to put things into perspective:

The Wii needs to sell 4.42 million before the X360 sells 2.72 million. That's the same as selling 62.5% more.

For 2009 as a whole, the Wii sold 109% more, and in the holiday quarter that was 130% more.

There's very little doubt that the Wii willl make 70 million before the X360 makes 40 million. In fact, it's so obvious I would call it a somewhat poor prediction.

 

Your "Wii will hit 70 million by March" is rather good, though. If it sold as well as it did last year, the Wii would make it by 50K (excluding future adjustments of previous data). Essentially, your prediction would be that Q1 2010 would > Q1 2009, which is rather interesting.

 

Q1 2010 > Q1 2009 is rather accurate since the first couple of weeks of 2010 for wii was higher than 2009's. and NSMBWii and Wii fit plus and Wii sports resort should keep that momentum alive.  At GDC it would be immense if Nintendo said they have shipped about 73 Million or even 75 Million.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

Natal is waaaaaay overated

it s just a way for MS to expérience montion sensing and sell it before doing it seriously NeXT gen



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Any more opinions will be great.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

Mmm yeah i think its easy for Wii to win this if it keeps up the good numbers, and especially since it also has japan working much more on its favor.

If anything your prediction of the Wii selling 70 million at around april is bolder. Will Q1 2010>Q1 2009 for the Wii? Well January and Feb in the states were record breaking for the Wii, and outdoing that will be tough but possible because mainly of Japan as i've stated before. However Q2 2010 will be way better than 2009 imo since the momentum is much stronger this time around. At the same time i expect 360 to fall further and further down until natal+pricecut comes along.



It's pretty obvious it will, what an safe prediction you have there.



 

Wii at 80m before 360 at 50m is one of the safest predictions I've ever seen. The first one though (Wii at 70m, before 360 at 40m) is a riskier prediction.



Not really a bold prediction if you ask me, it seems perfectly logical. The 360 won't even be close to 50 million when the Wii reaches 80 million and the other one is pretty darn safe as well.