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Forums - Sony Discussion - japan will at least have an install base of 6 million for PS3 by jan 2011

Just checked out some numbers and the only old PS3 game that has a shot at 1mil is MGS4. I don't see that happening at least this year. It still might be a possibility.



FootballFan - "GT has never been bigger than Halo. Now do a comparison between the two attach ratios and watch GT get stomped by Halo. Reach will sell 5 million more than GT5. Quote me on it."

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6 million is basically garunteed

I'd say it should be around 7 million by January 2011

2.5 million in 2010



PS3 was close to 4.5mil at the end of 2009 and it sold close to 1.8 mil in 2009. Even if it has a decline of 15%, it would still make 6 mil PS3 in Japan by Jan 2011. That's certainly achievable.

On the other hand, it is highly unlikely for PS3 to have 3 new million sellers.

GT5 has a good chance.

FF 13 Versus would do it if it's released.

FF14 is not likely since it's a MMO.

Yakuza 4 is also unlikely since 3 was at 500K and I don't think the series suddenly gained popularity to double its sale.



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

I remember a long while back, some posters predicing the PS3 wouldn't even reach 5 million lifetime in Japan.

Nothing seems certain this gen.



 

i hope so....but maybe GT5 won't sell million
Today's youth are not interested in race game than in the past



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maybe, throw out ff14 and switch it to versus u got a shot, so for now i disagree. 6million for sure tho.



"even a dead god still dreams"

 

GT5 and FFXIV wont make the million IMO. The PS3 on the other hand has a good shot at 6 million + by that time, and Versus is the only game that has the potential to do a million, tough even that is not guaranteed. Still GT5 could easily do 800k, Yakuza 4 600k, and a couple of other games should clear half million...



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I think the PS3 will hit 6 million before the end of this year. Remember that Front Mission Evolved, Star Ocean 4, Versus XIII and The Last Guardian all come this year.



is front mission an exclusive?



7 million at the least.