It's only March, but let's revisit this.
New Super Mario Bros. Wii was not on the list at all, not even as a dark horse, and neither were any Nintendo games. So far this year it's sold ~3.6 million copies worldwide.
Of the games that have a mostly worldwide release on the list:
BioShock 2 has sold ~1.4 million and is selling less on a weekly basis.
Mass Effect 2 has sold ~1.5 million and is selling less on a weekly basis.
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 has sold ~2 million and is selling less on a weekly basis.
All three have PC editions as well but it's safe to say they're all going to be behind NSMB for the year.
Random forum posters 3, Industry professionals 0.
A game I'm developing with some friends:
www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm
It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.