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Forums - Sales Discussion - predict the sales of the wii, ps3 and x360 this year.

 

predict the sales of the wii, ps3 and x360 this year.

agree with my estimates 45 49.45%
 
disagree 46 50.55%
 
Total:91

19 million for wii

14 million for ps3

10 million for xbox



ǝןdɯıs ʇı dǝǝʞ oʇ ǝʞıן ı ʍouʞ noʎ 

Ask me about being an elitist jerk

Time for hype

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Nintendo will domain the world by the end of the year. All of us will live with a Wii perhome and a DS per person.

In 2012, Nintendo will relase a new console that will deestroy the entire world.



MY ZELDA COLLECTION

I'd say this year is going to be very hard to call as there are so many factors that could change the equation entirely but here is my best guess.

I think the PS3 is going to be flat or slightly up. I don't think we are going to get another price cut this year. I really think we are getting beyond the point where a single software release can have a huge impact on console sales but still I'm hesitant to discount the effect of GT5. At the moment I don't see the wand having a big influence this year unless it comes much earlier than expected and is very well supported. We are not going to see crazy weeks that we saw post slim release but sales are going to be more consistent than last year and with GT5 and generally strong software i think it will end at 13-13.5 million.

I feel the 360's fortunes largely rest on Natal, when it releases, software support and whether follow up press is as positive as the initial press. If Natal hits a positive note then I can see it having some impact on hardware sales especially towards the holiday season where irrespective of software support it could become one of the new, cool gadgets to have at Christmas. 10.5-11 million.

Wii could very well go up, down or stay the same this year. Nintendo has professed that they don't want to lose momentum again so I think they will be more proactice this year in ensuring there aren't major software gaps at least on the first party front. They have Mario Galaxy 2, Metroid Other M, Zelda Wii all slated to release this year and less certainly Wii Vitality and Retro's game. With carefully timed releases this should keep the core gamer happy for most of the year so for me the big question lies with Wii Vitality. For the Wii to go up i think it would require at least one of two things; greater core adoption for the growing list of must have 1st party titles or Wii Vitality to have appeal on the scale of Wii Fit. Sales of the Wii will eventually have to drop to levels of a mortal console but then again we've been saying that about the DS for several years. I'm going to work on the assumption that Nintendo is going to get 'it' right this year, buck the YOY drop and end at about 22.3-22.8 million.

I am kind of going for a best case scenario for each of the three consoles but with the economic situation currently looking more promising than a year ago I don't think it's impossible.



Mummelmann said:
Soriku said:
Gearbox said:
brute said:
I'd go with.
Wii- 25 million (very strong line up, plus NSMBW will keep monumentum going through Q1)
PS3- 14 million (Again strong line-up should help it in sales)
360- 13-16million (Natal, if it's a big hit could be as high as 16 milion)

nsmbw was not that big of a console movie. zelda on the other handd will sway more hardcore gamers and thats what the wii needs. its got all the kiddies, mommies, dads, girls everythign but the hardcore masses. it can do it.


Uh...you're kidding me right. Please tell me you're kidding. Wii had record sales this year, and you think the Wii would be as high as it was in Japan if it weren't for NSMBW?

For one week. Down yoy otherwise, even in the last quarter after price cut, black edition, motion +, Sports Resort and a massive add campaign (I've never seen so many videogame adds my entire life, this holiday season was really something else).

this.    nsmbw isnt a console mover, its a game u buy after uve got the console, its not the key reason ud by it. unless u think this counts

 

" im going to buy a black wii because the price went down, and hey i guess i could pick up nsmbw" <- that DOESNT count



Gearbox said:
Mummelmann said:
Soriku said:
Gearbox said:
brute said:
I'd go with.
Wii- 25 million (very strong line up, plus NSMBW will keep monumentum going through Q1)
PS3- 14 million (Again strong line-up should help it in sales)
360- 13-16million (Natal, if it's a big hit could be as high as 16 milion)

nsmbw was not that big of a console movie. zelda on the other handd will sway more hardcore gamers and thats what the wii needs. its got all the kiddies, mommies, dads, girls everythign but the hardcore masses. it can do it.


Uh...you're kidding me right. Please tell me you're kidding. Wii had record sales this year, and you think the Wii would be as high as it was in Japan if it weren't for NSMBW?

For one week. Down yoy otherwise, even in the last quarter after price cut, black edition, motion +, Sports Resort and a massive add campaign (I've never seen so many videogame adds my entire life, this holiday season was really something else).

this.    nsmbw isnt a console mover, its a game u buy after uve got the console, its not the key reason ud by it. unless u think this counts

 

" im going to buy a black wii because the price went down, and hey i guess i could pick up nsmbw" <- that DOESNT count

Actually, the Black Wii costs a bit more than a standard white one so it kind of nullifies the price cut.



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lol, people are funny, from 22 million in 2009 to 17 and 14 million in 2010, lol



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

hmmm........

Wii- 19,000,000
PS3- 13,000,00
360- 11,000,00



360 = 11 mil (14mil - natal)
PS3 = 13 mil
Wii =



Wii - 19,000,000
PS3 - 13,000,000
360 - 11,000,000
rough estimate...



2010 Hardware Sales Predictions

Wii: 20m- Sales will drop, but not by much.

PS3: 13.5m- It sold 12m in 2009, its only common sense it will sell more this year.

Xbox 360: 11m- It sold 11m in 2008 and 2009, I think it will sell the same.

My Fanboy Speech...

Why do you have to make excuses to defend a product that you purchased, but that's the only connection you have to it, you don't make it, you don't lose or gain money on it. I don't see where all of the defensiveness comes in, there is no reason for you or anybody else to feel obligated to defend it. Now I would understand if one of you were a developer for the product and you slaved over said product only to hear somebody call it stupid or a piece of junk. But none of you developed it, none of you are mature enough to realize that. Choosing a product all comes down to preference, you chose said product because it is best for you. Simple as that!

Wii = 20 to 21 million (same as last year's total. Good games lineup and should sell well in 2010).

PS3 = 12 to 13 million (same as last year's total) Jan to Aug 2010 will be up on same 8 months of 2009. Last 4 months for 2010 will be down on last 4 months of 2009.)

360 = 10 to 13 million (Either same as last year's total or could be higher. Depends on the success of Natal and more price cuts. Late rally in last 4 months of 2010 will make up for slow start for first 8 months in 2010)

End of 2010 sales ltd:
Wii = 85 to 86 million
PS3 = 44 to 45 million
360 = 47 to 50 million