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Forums - Sales Discussion - Analyst - PS3 to see 10% GAIN in 2010, Wii60 to DECLINE! (Wii 20%, 360 5%)

Khuutra said:
Carl2291 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Sebastian was the same guy who thought MW2 would sell 20 million, ROFL, now its getting slaughtered by mario

MW 2 that has sold over 14 Million copies in 7 weeks? Probably closer (or over) to 15 Million if you add whatever has been sold on PC.

NMSB Wii has sold 8.6m in 6 weeks.

How is NSMB currently slaughtering MW2, exactly?

I like to assume he means in terms of weekly sales

That would appear so looking at his later posts. That doesn't change the fact though, that MW2 still has a chance of that 20m, and is still selling really well.

Avinash_Tyagi said:
Carl2291 said:

GTA4 and MK Wii have nothing to do with this discussion.

Even if you bring them into it... It doesn't change the fact that Modern Warfare 2 is still above NSMB Wii.

For a little while sure, but like all other such evergreen Wii titles, they always push past the PS3 and 360 games

So? Modern Warfare 2 is selling very well, and has currently outsold NSMB Wii. Infact, in 2009 we could say MW2 has slaughtered NSMB Wii... If it makes you happy?

When do you predict for NSMBW to overtake MW2 in WW sales?



                            

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Did a single analyst predict the Wii doing this well for the holidays?



Anyone can guess. It takes no effort to throw out lots of predictions and have some of them be correct. You are not and wiser or better for having your guesses be right. Even a blind man can hit the bullseye.

darthdevidem01 said:
WTF is MWF2?

is MW2....ROFL ROFL ROFL

MW2 sold over 800K last week, thats basically like more than what 90% of games sell lifetime & around what uncharted 2 launched at

its not "running" out of steam

It won't be an evergreen like NSMB Wii, but you all are forgetting the type of legs COD 4 had

What's crazy, many on this site expected no leg after the big opening week. While we are all impress by the amazing numbers NSMB is putting up, mw2 is acheivement is just as great. I am not a big fan of the game, but this game in just 2 months is the PS3 second best selling game ever, top five on the 360 and it's doing it in just 2 territories, while NSMB has Japan.

 



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Carl2291 said:
Khuutra said:
Carl2291 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Sebastian was the same guy who thought MW2 would sell 20 million, ROFL, now its getting slaughtered by mario

MW 2 that has sold over 14 Million copies in 7 weeks? Probably closer (or over) to 15 Million if you add whatever has been sold on PC.

NMSB Wii has sold 8.6m in 6 weeks.

How is NSMB currently slaughtering MW2, exactly?

I like to assume he means in terms of weekly sales

That would appear so looking at his later posts. That doesn't change the fact though, that MW2 still has a chance of that 20m, and is still selling really well.

Avinash_Tyagi said:
Carl2291 said:

GTA4 and MK Wii have nothing to do with this discussion.

Even if you bring them into it... It doesn't change the fact that Modern Warfare 2 is still above NSMB Wii.

For a little while sure, but like all other such evergreen Wii titles, they always push past the PS3 and 360 games

So? Modern Warfare 2 is selling very well, and has currently outsold NSMB Wii. Infact, in 2009 we could say MW2 has slaughtered NSMB Wii... If it makes you happy?

When do you predict for NSMBW to overtake MW2 in WW sales?

he thinks outselling it by 500K is crushing

saying MW2 slaughtered NSMB Wii when it outsold it by what 6 Million in 2009 is an understatement, the understatement of the year carl

FF13 FTW!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

psrock said:
darthdevidem01 said:
WTF is MWF2?

is MW2....ROFL ROFL ROFL

MW2 sold over 800K last week, thats basically like more than what 90% of games sell lifetime & around what uncharted 2 launched at

its not "running" out of steam

It won't be an evergreen like NSMB Wii, but you all are forgetting the type of legs COD 4 had

What's crazy, many on this site expected no leg after the big opening week. While we are all impress by the amazing numbers NSMB is putting up, mw2 is acheivement is just as great. I am not a big fan of the game, but this game in just 2 months is the PS3 second best selling game ever, top five on the 360 and it's doing it in just 2 territories, while NSMB has Japan.

 

MW2's achievement is MASSIVE

in 7 weeks it outsold COD4 & Grand Theft Freakin Auto 4!

in 7 weeks it became the top selling HD title

Oh & hey its showing better legs than COD4 did in its first holiday season



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

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Now now, I don't see how a "MW2 vs NSMBWii" battle is relevant here. Can't we just agree that both sold and are still selling very well?



If we didn't have analysts making crazy predictions what would we talk about on this site.

Having said that the Wii, as with all consoles, will begin to decline sooner or letter and whether it's this year or next or the year after, there's going to be someone who stands up and says, "Ha, I told you it was a fad."



His prediction seems pretty accurate for the Ps3 in North America, I don't see it hitting a 10%yoy, more like a 5%, and I don't think his analysis accurately reflect how well Natal is going to drive 360 sales, which I see having a huge impact on the holiday season. I'm sure the wii will remain pretty steady maybe up 5% maybe down 5% but that's fine either way.



yanamaster said:
CGI-Quality said:
It's actually quite possible pristine. The PS3 will see some of it's biggest titles to release yet: FFXIII/GT5/GOW III. Those three alone can cause a significant increase and that's not even taking into account what Sony has set up for the Holiday. As far as Nintendo and Microsoft declining, I can't say. But a 10% increase for Sony looks feasible.

...It may actually just be like with most PS3 big hitters that they sell less than was expected at first (kz2, uncharted2 etc) but still sold well.

You lost me with the Uncharted 2 bit there. I seem to recall a lot of people falling overthemselves laughuing when someone suggested Uncharted 2 could sell 2 million in 2009, with many saying it would struggle to reach 1 million in 2009. How is it that a game a lot of people were expecting to have a modest start was expected to shift a lot of hardware? I think, without much exaggeration everyone, was ZOMG!!! at Uncharted 2's opening week, and the legs it's carried through to the end of the year.

KZ2 is of course a whole other story.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

hsrob said:
If we didn't have analysts making crazy predictions what would we talk about on this site.

Having said that the Wii, as with all consoles, will begin to decline sooner or letter and whether it's this year or next or the year after, there's going to be someone who stands up and says, "Ha, I told you it was a fad."

That's gonna be awesome.  I just hope I'm logged into VGC when it happens.

I can't wait until the Wii's up at 120 million and people start foaming at the mouth claiming the fad is going to fade away before it outsells the PS2.