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Forums - Sales - Analyst: FF13 might outsell FF12

That actually occurred to me the other day.

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=2936226



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Not happenin' brotha! This prediction is just too far out.



TheSource said:

Final Fantasy XII did 1,441,000 day one according to Sinobi, while Square-Enix is claiming Final Fantasy XIII did ~1,000,000 day one. It will beat FFXII worldwide, but most PS3 games end up lower than their PS2 counterparts in Japan by 25-35%.

Is the news not 'Final Fantasy XIII sells over one million units in Japan day one'?

Until we see the numbers I do believe it has a shot.



Not a chance in Japan, maybe worldwide.



Of course it is "news" but even if there 200,000 bundles not included in Square-Enix's figures it is still well off the pace of Final Fantasy XII day one.



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I'm pretty sure the famitsu first day preview was normally leaked onto NEOGAF. They seem to think the leak has dried up, as of this week. Frustrating timing for those of us waiting on FFXIII numbers...



 

TheSource said:

Final Fantasy XII did 1,441,000 day one according to Sinobi, while Square-Enix is claiming Final Fantasy XIII did ~1,000,000 day one. It will beat FFXII worldwide, but most PS3 games end up lower than their PS2 counterparts in Japan by 25-35%.

from what I saw, PS3 counterparts sell the same, if not more. Look no further than DMC4 vs DMC3, GTAIV vs GTAIII, MGS4 vs MGS3, RE5 vs RE4

not to mention some of those dispite being multiplatform

 

really no idea where you get the "25%-35%" data there. especially the "most PS3 games" part

 



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Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
kingofwale said:
TheSource said:

Final Fantasy XII did 1,441,000 day one according to Sinobi, while Square-Enix is claiming Final Fantasy XIII did ~1,000,000 day one. It will beat FFXII worldwide, but most PS3 games end up lower than their PS2 counterparts in Japan by 25-35%.

from what I saw, PS3 counterparts sell the same, if not more. Look no further than DMC4 vs DMC3, GTAIV vs GTAIII, MGS4 vs MGS3, RE5 vs RE4

not to mention some of those dispite being multiplatform

 

really no idea where you get the "25%-35%" data there. especially the "most PS3 games" part

 

  1. Devil May Cry (PS2) 569,783
  2. Devil May Cry 2 (PS2) 456,824
  3. Devil May Cry 3 (PS2) 281,025
  4. Devil May Cry 4 (PS3) 310,102
  1. Metal Gear Solid (PS) 707,409
  2. Metal Gear Solid 2: Sons of Liberty (PS2) 832,719
  3. Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater (PS2) 819,807
  4. Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots (PS3) 705,772
  1. Biohazard (PS) 1,194,779
  2. Biohazard 2 (PS) 2,154,975
  3. Biohazard 3: Last Escape (PS) 1,383,282
  4. Biohazard Code: Veronica X* (PS2) 337,761
  5. Biohazard 4* (PS2) 454,979
  6. Biohazard 5 (PS3) 475,799
  1. Grand Theft Auto III (PS2) 358,917
  2. Grand Theft Auto: Vice City (PS2) 410,293
  3. Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas (PS2) 412,100
  4. Grand Theft Auto IV (PS3) 211,240

*late port

 

...if you'd prefer, we could look at series like Winning Eleven, Mingol or Musou, which have declined 50%+.



I don't understand jarrod's data, or what he's trying to show.  ^^

Devil May Cry increased 10% between the 3rd and 4th game, Metal Gear decreased 15%, Biohazard had nothing but a series of late ports released during the entire PS2 generation, and Grand Theft Auto decreased 50%. What kind of a pattern is that?



 

Alic0004 said:

I don't understand jarrod's data, or what he's trying to show.  ^^

Devil May Cry increased 10% between the 3rd and 4th game, Metal Gear decreased 15%, Biohazard had nothing but a series of late ports released during the entire PS2 generation, and Grand Theft Auto decreased 50%. What kind of a pattern is that?

No pattern, just that a general franchise decrease is happening.  I expect FF to hold up better than most though (like MGS did).