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Forums - Sony - How will the PS3 do in 2008 when its "big guns" (GT5, MGS, etc.) come out?

Soriku said:
cool48 said:
120 million people already own a PS2. So in other words 120 million people don't need BC.

Let's say half of them don't want to keep their PS2 or it broke and the other half buys a 40GB PS3 with no BC it could still sell pretty damn well.

You can't just assume that. And 120 mil people don't own PS2s. Remember, some of them were re-buys because the PS2s broke down.

Ha.

unless you got specific numbers, we will go buy the standart of 3% so no big affect overall.



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Soriku said:
cool48 said:
120 million people already own a PS2. So in other words 120 million people don't need BC.

Let's say half of them don't want to keep their PS2 or it broke and the other half buys a 40GB PS3 with no BC it could still sell pretty damn well.

You can't just assume that. And 120 mil people don't own PS2s. Remember, some of them were re-buys because the PS2s broke down.

 plus that's making the strange presumption of 100% brand loyalty which is completely rediculous, which ever system has the most games and best word of mouth wins that's all their is too it



I HAVE A DOUBLE DRAGON CAB IN MY KITCHEN!!!!!!

NOW A PUNISHER CAB!!!!!!!!!!!!!

URNotE said:
Duh?!?! its a no brainer 2008 will be better than 07.. you have at least 3 confirmed system sellers coming out for it in 08.. plust sony finally doesnt have a 600 dollar console on the market.. and im convinced they will drop the price with the lauch of mgs4 down to 350 and 450 respectively

Personally, I believe that expecting further price reductions on the PS3 in 2007 or 2008 is unrealistic. Sony has said that they're losing money on the 40GB model, and it has been suggested that Sony may be losing as much (or more) on the 40GB model as they were on the 60GB PS3 at launch; I would expect Sony to reduce the cost on the PS3 so that it was profitable (or at least only has a minimal loss) before they reduce the price again.



Soriku said:
@Enos

Catch 360 WW numbers? Lol. And thanks for making up the 3%. You just contradicted yourself. You said "unless you got specific numbers," yet you COMPLETELY ignored that and made up a number, the same thing you told me NOT to do.

Contradiction and hypocrisy. Nice. I have never seen a better self-pwnage in my life.

  MS and Sony both have used 3% as the industry standart for console failures.  Your a fanboy this smell like a troll thread, it should be closed. 



masschamber said:
Soriku said:
cool48 said:
120 million people already own a PS2. So in other words 120 million people don't need BC.

Let's say half of them don't want to keep their PS2 or it broke and the other half buys a 40GB PS3 with no BC it could still sell pretty damn well.

You can't just assume that. And 120 mil people don't own PS2s. Remember, some of them were re-buys because the PS2s broke down.

plus that's making the strange presumption of 100% brand loyalty which is completely rediculous, which ever system has the most games and best word of mouth wins that's all their is too it


 I said half of them could(notice how i wrote could) buy the 40GB without BC... half is 50% not 100%



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HappySqurriel said:
URNotE said:
Duh?!?! its a no brainer 2008 will be better than 07.. you have at least 3 confirmed system sellers coming out for it in 08.. plust sony finally doesnt have a 600 dollar console on the market.. and im convinced they will drop the price with the lauch of mgs4 down to 350 and 450 respectively

Personally, I believe that expecting further price reductions on the PS3 in 2007 or 2008 is unrealistic. Sony has said that they're losing money on the 40GB model, and it has been suggested that Sony may be losing as much (or more) on the 40GB model as they were on the 60GB PS3 at launch; I would expect Sony to reduce the cost on the PS3 so that it was profitable (or at least only has a minimal loss) before they reduce the price again.


well they said they dont expect to obtain profatability til late 2008 going into 2009..  they also said in their next report losses might double for their game division which leads me to  believe they might cut prices just a lil more.. or you could be right they probably are losing out on the spiderman 3 bundled system.. but the fact that they left the 80 and 40 gb bunlded are the reasons i think they might cut prices..



URNOTE Proud Owner of a 60GB PS3 Console (Purchased 12/22/06)

 #1 reason MGS4 is PS3 exclusive  xbox is too loud for snake to sneak around
PSNTAG= Xander732

EnosStory said:
Soriku said:
cool48 said:
120 million people already own a PS2. So in other words 120 million people don't need BC.

Let's say half of them don't want to keep their PS2 or it broke and the other half buys a 40GB PS3 with no BC it could still sell pretty damn well.

You can't just assume that. And 120 mil people don't own PS2s. Remember, some of them were re-buys because the PS2s broke down.

Ha.

unless you got specific numbers, we will go buy the standart of 3% so no big affect overall.

Unfortunately, Sony was faced with a class action lawsuit because the PS2's disc read error was far beyond a 3% failure rate ... There is a reason why you see (pretty much) every console ever created at a garage sale except for the Playstation and PS2

 



I think that with the release of PS3's big guns, their sales should spike momentarily. However, it will be short lived as I believe that most of the people that are looking to play these games already have a PS3. I am not sure if there are a lot of people like me that are still holding out for these games.



Wii Code 8761-5941-4718-0078 

Soriku said:
zackblue said:
PLease dont make sony nintendo now by saying look at the gamecubes library. So what? Its a playstation not a nintendo.

I see the ps3 doing amazing in 2008, you guys would jaw drop. Japan sales should increase drasticly with dyansty warriors bundle. Maybe as high as 50k before the holiday. This chtristmas should go to the wii, secound to the ps3. Why? Sales as high as 100k in japan, and europe is sony's to take. The 360 only has the U.S, and the ps3 should rival its sales with the 40gb.

1. Are you sure? We've been saying that with HS, Lair, and now Ratchet only gets 97k (not saying that's bad, it'a just if the PS3 was more successfulit'd have done better). Can we REALLY say that when the time comes?

2. Not really. The Wii is basically dominating in Europe except Spain and somewhere else (France or Italy?) is "Sony land" (well, sorta, it's not selling A LOT better than the Wii/360, but it'd doing better).

3. We have to see. Remember, PS2 BC is gone. How far will the 40 GB go?


Im not comparing it to wii sales soriku, im comparing it to 360 sales. The wii should easily take the holiday season, but afterwards its uncertain.



 

 2008 end of year predictions:

PS3: 22M

360: 25M

wii: 40M

Um, haven't we learned our lesson on release dates? Nobody can say with any certainty what will be released in the latter half of 2008. Anything with a Fall/Winter 2008 release date probably has less than a 50% chance of coming out in 2008.