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Forums - Sales - how many copies will upcoming games sell

hudsoniscool said:
CGI-Quality said:
hudsoniscool said:

you can also estimate how many copies games that recently came out will sell.                                                       

games that have already come out

uncharted 2 ~4m - Agree, maybe a tad less: 3.5mill

forza 3~5m - no, 4mill.

modern warfare 2 360 ~9m I can see 10-12mill

modern warfare 2 ps3~6m - I can see 7-9mill

left for dead 2 ~4m - no, 3mill

halo odst ~5.5m(i think when reach beta is about to come out sales will boast. - maybe 6-7mill.

games to come out

mass effect 3m

splinter cell conviction 3.5 m

god of war 3 3m(god of war did 3m and 2 did less) - Considering it's the first GOW of the gen, GOWII sales can't be compared: 4mill LTD

allen wake 1.5m - 2.5 mill

heavy rain 1m - 1.5mill.

fable 3 3m

battlefield bad company 2 4m for each console - no, 2mill for PS3, 3mill for 360.

gran torismo 5 7m - lol 10mill LTD

halo reach 13m - no, 11mill LTD

avp 1.5 m(for each console)   - Not sure how this will sell, I go out on a wimb and say 700,000-1mill for PS3, 1.3mill for 360.                                                                                                                               

My take

Edit: Duh, AVP = Aliens vs Predator.

forza 2 did 4m and forza 3 is on pace to pass forza 2 prity easlly.i got to disagree about battlefield bad company 2. the game looks great. infact it looks better then modern warfare 2 to me,so i can see it selling 4m for each console.

It did 4 million because of heavy bundling. Forza 3 is showing great legs though.

 

As for BC2, well looking at the preorders, it doesn't seem like 4 million for each console is likely, but we'll see.

 

Furthermore, regarding God of War, you need to keep in mind the rampant piracy on PS2.



Rockstar: Announce Bully 2 already and make gamers proud!

Kojima: Come out with Project S already!

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DarkisWR said:

uncharted 2 - 3.5million at best.

forza 3- 3.7-4.3million

modern warfare 2 360 -9-11million easy.

modern warfare 2 ps3- 4million..tops.

left for dead 2 - 4-4.8million

halo odst -4.6 million...agree itll probliy get a great boost reach beta time.

games to come out

mass effect 7million firm.

splinter cell conviction 3-5.4 million

god of war 3 4-6.2million...depending if sony fans actully put thier money where thier mouths are this time*example..kz2/uc2 sales...very dismal vs thier qualitiy/hype and sheer amount of fanboyism*

allen wake 2.9 million

heavy rain 1.6million...Niche game for Niche gamers.

battlefield bad company 2 3.5-6.1million 360/2.3million PS3

gran torismo 5 3-5.5million

avp 1.3 million 360...300-475k PS3

Modern Warfare 2 to sell 4 million on ps3 tops? It is already at 3.95 million at the end of Black Friday week. You saying between Black Friday and MW3 it will only sell 50,000 units? That is the worst prediction I have ever seen.

To say Uncharted 2's sales to date have been "very dismal" is a terrible assessment. It is around 1.8 million already and is set to do ~2.25 million by year end. That is by no means a "very dismal" showing.

 

Alan Wake 2.9 million vs Heavy Rain 1.6 million? You say that HR is a "niche game for niche gamers"? The same things could (and perhaps should) be said about Alan Wake at this stage, as it is by no means a completely mainstream game.

Bad Company 2 to sell 2.5ish times on Xbox 360 vs PS3? Considering at the last update it was more like 1.75:1, I think 2.5:1 is pretty absurd. PS3 userbase is closer to 360 in terms of ratio now, and BFBC2 beta is on the PS3.

 

Gran Turismo 5: 3-5.5 million? You are figuring it might sell less than GT5: Prologue? Just what the f....?

AVP to sell 4:1 on 360 vs PS3? I can only see that happening if the sales are in the region of ~200000 for 360 and ~50000 for PS3, in which case it has no significance whatsoever.

L4D2 4-4.8 million? So double the original? Seems a little excessive to me.

Mass Effect 2: 7 million? Why...just why?



DarkisWR said:

uncharted 2 - 3.5million at best.

forza 3- 3.7-4.3million

modern warfare 2 360 -9-11million easy.

modern warfare 2 ps3- 4million..tops.

left for dead 2 - 4-4.8million

halo odst -4.6 million...agree itll probliy get a great boost reach beta time.

games to come out

mass effect 7million firm.

splinter cell conviction 3-5.4 million

god of war 3 4-6.2million...depending if sony fans actully put thier money where thier mouths are this time*example..kz2/uc2 sales...very dismal vs thier qualitiy/hype and sheer amount of fanboyism*

allen wake 2.9 million

heavy rain 1.6million...Niche game for Niche gamers.

fable 3 3.5-4.2million.

battlefield bad company 2 3.5-6.1million 360/2.3million PS3

gran torismo 5 3-5.5million

halo reach 11-14million.

avp 1.3 million 360...300-475k PS3

This is one of the worst, and most ignorant predictions I have ever seen.

 

GreyianStorm pretty much summed up my thoughts nicely.



Rockstar: Announce Bully 2 already and make gamers proud!

Kojima: Come out with Project S already!

gran torismo 5 is going to sell worse than gran turismo 5 prologue?

MW2 PS3 4 million? It is already there

mass effect 7 million? lol



I'll just do the 2010 ones that'll crack 5m lifetime...

PlayStation 3
Gran Turismo 5: 8m

Xbox 360
Halo Reach: 10m

PS3+360
Final Fantasy XIII: 8m
Metal Gear Rising: 5m

Wii
Super Mario Galaxy 2: 7m
The Legend of Zelda: 7m

Nintendo DS
-Pokemon Heart Gold/Soul Silver: 12m
-Dragon Quest IX: 7m
-Friend Connection: 10m



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DarkisWR said:

uncharted 2 - 4 million at best

orza 3- 3 million at best

modern warfare 2 360 -9-11million easy.

modern warfare 2 ps3- 8 million..tops.

left for dead 2 - 3 million tops

halo odst -4.6 million...agree itll probliy get a great boost reach beta time.

games to come out

mass effect 7million firm.

splinter cell conviction 2 million no other splinter cell game sold over 2 mill

god of war 3 5-6.2million...depending if sony fans actully put thier money where thier mouths are this time*example..kz2/uc2 sales...very dismal vs thier qualitiy/hype and sheer amount of fanboyism*

allen wake 1.5 million looks like ghost busters but better

heavy rain 1.6million...Niche game for Niche gamers.

fable 3 3.5-4.2million.

battlefield bad company 2 3.5-6.1million 360/2.3million PS3

gran torismo 5 3-5.5million

halo reach 11-14million.

avp 1.3 million 360...300-475k PS3

 



uncharted 2 3.5m

forza 3 3.5-4m

modern warfare 2 360 12-13m

modern warfare 2 ps3 7.5-8m

left for dead 2  3.3m

halo odst  5.5m

games to come out

mass effect 2 3-3.5m

splinter cell conviction 3m

god of war 3 3.5m

alan wake 2m

heavy rain 1m

fable 3 3-4m

battlefield bad company 2 2m MIN (for each console)

gran turismo 5 9.99m MAX

halo reach 13-14m

avp 400k(for each console)          

_________________________________________________________

The reason why I think Alien vs. Predator will bomb: REBELLION



forza 3 2.5-3.5m
alan wake 1.5-4.5m
fable 3 3.5-4m
halo reach 14-16m



 

 

elticker said:
forza 3 2.5-3.5m
alan wake 1.5-4.5m
fable 3 3.5-4m
halo reach 14-16m

I'll be amazed if that happens.



Rockstar: Announce Bully 2 already and make gamers proud!

Kojima: Come out with Project S already!

huaxiong90 said:
elticker said:
forza 3 2.5-3.5m
alan wake 1.5-4.5m
fable 3 3.5-4m
halo reach 14-16m

I'll be amazed if that happens.

lol its more like 12-16 million but am thinking that 14-16m is very possible.