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Forums - Sony - REALISTIC Sales Predictions For Gran Turismo

CGI-Quality said:
G2Daooze said:
CGI-Quality said:
You're OP has just one BIG problem, it's saying that a NON--full Gran Tursimo release is an indication of what the first FULL Gran Turismo will do.

1st week - 1.2-1.5mill

LTD - 9-10mill.

I put that in there because i figured it was a good representation of the amount of hardcore gt fans.

But it really isn't, as it's just a P{rologue. GT is Sony's biggest franchise. It will sell 9-10mill at the least, especially considering how Gran Turismo games just keep on selling and selling. You don't go from a 9-15mill sales record, to just 4.5mill.

Prolouge isn't bought by all hardcore GT5 fans, as CGI said. I *love* Gran Turismo (I still play GT4 almost weekly), yet I didn't buy GT5: Prologue. Same with my friends (many of whom bought GT4: Prologue) but will still buy GT5 first day.



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G2Daooze said:

Okay everyone says gt5 will sell like a TRILLION copy but i dont see it happening because if you look back to what other racers have come to

over the years, it looks like racers are just not as popular.

 

For example Need For Speed went from selling 6.38 million on ps2 alone to selling 1.83 million on 360 and ps3.

even Forza 2 wich was released in 07 sold 4.06 million and Forza 3 with all its hype only sits at 1.42 million.

So these games seem to sell about 25% of what thier highest selling predesesors did, so that would put gran turisom 5 at 3.75 million, 25% of what GT3 A-spec sold.

But considering that Gran Turismo is a stronger franchise and that gt5 prolouge sold 3.30 million, I think a realistic Prediction is

4.5 million.

 

Whats yours?

GT5 Prologue has done over 4 million, actually. It has 700k+ digital downloads off the PSN Store.

Otherwise, your argument is just poorly argued.

The NFS series went to shit, hence its declining popularity (also, PS2 install base was huge), whilst Forza 2 had 2.2 million bundles, so its sales would actually have been 1.8 million, making Forza 3's 1.4 million right now look absolutely fine.

Anyway, aside from all that, the fact that Prologue has done 4 million copies, despite being basically an expensive demo, shows that the GT series' popularity has not waned.



im going to buy it and i hate racing games now. sooooo 10 mil ltd
3 mill worldwide first week



Lifetime sales = 6 million/ I don't believe in this 10 million buisness

That's my bold prediction for today.



CGI-Quality said:
damndl0ser said:
Not another one of these......

Another one of what? If you don't like it, why post?

Last time I checked I can respond to whatever I like. 

 

How many of these posts do we really need?  If I did a search on it I would be willing to bet that there is over 20 or 30 of these similar threads.  So why not just go to one of those?  Simple answer, VGC$............

 

Last time I respond to this thread cause I don't feel the need to encourage more of the same.



"If you've got them by the balls their hearts and minds will follow."

Quote by- The Imortal John Wayne, the original BADASS!

 

 

 

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CGI-Quality said:
GreyianStorm said:
CGI-Quality said:
G2Daooze said:
CGI-Quality said:
You're OP has just one BIG problem, it's saying that a NON--full Gran Tursimo release is an indication of what the first FULL Gran Turismo will do.

1st week - 1.2-1.5mill

LTD - 9-10mill.

I put that in there because i figured it was a good representation of the amount of hardcore gt fans.

But it really isn't, as it's just a P{rologue. GT is Sony's biggest franchise. It will sell 9-10mill at the least, especially considering how Gran Turismo games just keep on selling and selling. You don't go from a 9-15mill sales record, to just 4.5mill.

Prolouge isn't bought by all hardcore GT5 fans, as CGI said. I *love* Gran Turismo (I still play GT4 almost weekly), yet I didn't buy GT5: Prologue. Same with my friends (many of whom bought GT4: Prologue) but will still buy GT5 first day.

Whic is why his 4.5mill LTD prediction is not only laughable, but will HARDLY be the case.

Exactly, that why I estimated earlier that it'll sell 8-10 million, but wouldn't be surprised if it went up near 12 million if GT6 takes a few years (3-4) to launch.
I think the fact that every PS3 owner I know plans to buy GT5, but not one of us has GT5:P, should show that GT5:P isn't going to get close to the final product. GT5:P is a glorified demo, whereas GT5 will be "the real driving simulator".



Well I think it'll do GTA4 sales MINIMUM so at least 6 million. My REALISTIC prediction is 7-7.5 million. I HOPE it does like 9-10 million though.



5 million
i HOPE that it hits 10million, with bundles it will 100% hit it, Sony will make it hit 10million lol



1st week = 3 mil. (cuz of GT5 prolog)
LTD = 9~10 mil.
I thik GT5 is the only one from racing games who can sell like this.



not more than 9.99m