Over 100 million? O_O No way. More like 80 million, or 85. Who knows, it might just have a shot at 90 million, although I don't think that'll happen. Defintely not 100 million though.

Guys its already passed 61 million and another million.5 next week and another million last week of december to finish with 63 million so it looks like wii is going to pass with 63 million sold!!

@cheebee. Nintendo has the best line-up for the wii ever in 2010 with zelda galaxy 2 other m sinandpunishment 2 nmh2 redsteel2 monsterhunter 3 pikmin 3(possibly) and maybe starfox(hopefully. seriously u douldn't ask for more and so with that line up and wii's popularity obviously, it should be able to sell 82million by end of 2010 at minimum. maximum at 88million.

Wii Will Outsell PS2!!!!

@ Wii_Master,

I know, that's what I said, somewhere between 80 and 90 million.
As for the lineup, I totally agree it's incredible, BUT! Those games aren't gonna get a lot of new people to get a Wii. there's already a Zelda, 2 Mario games and Prime 3 & Trilogy on Wii. The new games in these franchises aren't gonna attract a whole lot of new people, and I doubt the others you mentioned are big enough to make much of an impact either. Monster Hunter possibly, but stuff like Pikmin 3 (which I don't think will come out in 2010, and neither will Zelda, imho, but let's not go there ) and S&P2 isn't gonna make people want to buy a Wii. I think another 'core' game that has a chance of getting gamers' interest in Retro's project -whatever that may be-.

Though I do agree they'll all strengthen the library of the Wii and increase its appeal. But I think the stuff that'll attract most new buyers will be the older evergreen titles like Wii Sports Resort, Wii Play, Fit Plus and NSMBW, plus any other new bridge titles Nintendo has up their sleeves (Vitality Sensor?)

And even if 38 million people decide they want a wii in 2010, Nintendo doesn't have the production capacity to build that many.

Nintendo Produces a handfull amount in their factories,and Reggie says there expecting at least 50 Million U.S consumers alone! its on a thread i read Ninty:50 mill Wii owners....,As for the Wii Vitality Sensor I know it will be a hit, people doubted the Balance Board and look at it now over 20 million.

@Cheebee

Epic Mickey could be huge too, Mickey mouse is a pretty notable character and if the game delivers very well, it could be a big hit. With all these epic titles to come in 2010 there's less reason to say Wii lacks hardcore games, Some people wont stop but they're just narrow-minded, but there aren't any of those on this site, on other sites where they don't ban people is the problem.

@Ninten78 Yes I remember Reggie making that statment, and if it comes true then Wii sales Worldwide will be phenominal.

That is easily done. (though I agree with you, the comparison by killeryoshis is flawed)

Adding up the differences region by region gives the Wii an advantage of 9,621,268

We should wait till after the holidays are over though as the slight difference in holiday periods for the Americas region is giving the Wii an advantage, but with this years huge holiday sales in America (will it manage 1mil+ next week?) it won't cut that figure down by more than 2 million.

Japan: http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=Japan&cons2=PS2&reg2=Japan&cons3=DS&reg3=Japan&weeks=208
(about 3 million behind PS2... it will never outsell PS2 in this region now)

Americas: http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=America&cons2=PS2&reg2=America&cons3=DS&reg3=America&weeks=208
(6 million ahead, but like I said the skewed time is giving Wii an advantage... though Wii will still be easily 4 million ahead after the holidays... probably nearer 5)

Others: http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=Total+Other&cons2=PS2&reg2=Total+Other&cons3=DS&reg3=Total+Other&weeks=208
(3.5 million ahead)

===========

Going into next year, the Wii should handily exceed the equivalent PS2 year in America, because even matching 2009 sales (generally considered a low point for Wii till late in the year) will be exceeding PS2s equivalent year (2004 I think)
In "Others" the Wii generally exceeded the PS2 on a week by week basis for 2009 (versus PS2s 2003) though it will have to up it's game slightly to keep topping PS2 when comparing 2010 to 2004, as 2004 was the PS2s best year in Others.
For Japan we have to compare different years for a fairer picture (though they are still skewed a little) so Wiis 2009 is being compared against the PS2s 2002 (instead of 2003 like the other regions)... 2002 was the PS2s best year in Japan, while the Wii in 2009 did poor by comparison. The PS2s 2003 was not as good as it's 2002, so Wii doesn't have as much to live up to for 2010, and I do think the Wii should have a better 2010 than 2009, but I imagine it will continue to fall further behind PS2 (just at a slower pace)

I would say well done if you understood all that as I probably garbled much of it (particularly explaining which years are being compared for Japan).

The wii and ds are unstoppable.