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Forums - Sales - Famitsu Estimates (November 2009)

(Wii) New Super Mario Bros. : 1,03-1,29M / 2,50M or more
(PS3) Final Fantasy XIII : 1,01-1,36M / 1,00-1,50M
(DS) Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks : 320-430k / 720-880k
(DS) Layton 4 : 300-400k / 540-690k
(PSP) Kingdom Hearts : 240-330k / 450-580k
(PSP) MS Gundam vs. Gundam Next Plus : 230-320k / 320-400k
(PSP) Phantasy Star Portable 2 : 200-260k / 270-350k
(Wii) Tales of Graces : 200-260k / 230-290k
(DS) Power Pro Pocket 12 : 130-180k / 230-290k
(PSP) Winning Eleven 2010 : 110-160k / 180-230k
(DS) Fushigi no Dungeon 4 : 100-140k / 100-130k
(PSP) Valkyria Chronicles 2 : 100-130k / 160-200k
(???) End of Eternity : 100-140k / 110-140k
(Wii) RE Darkside Chronicles : 100-130k / 180-230k
(PS3) Call of Duty MW2 : 90-130k / 140-170k

 



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October 2009 :
http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=89470



So Famtisu still estimates FF XIII to have a maximum of 1.5 M Life time copies sold with a first week between 1.01-1.31 million copies sold.



This is still "first week lifetime" or "first week entire november"?

End of Eternity => Resonance of Fate => HD consoles, no?



Hope EOE sell more than that :(

160-200k for VC 2 is too low



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That certainly is a fairly modest FFXIII guestimate. I supposed there aren't many precedents this generation for home console games selling gangbusters (in Japan).



ioi said:
It is first shipment and lifetime estimates.

FWIW, and we've said this before, 1-1.1m week one for FF XIII is looking about right judging by current preorder rates... and it will be massively frontloaded just like all big PS3 games in Japan so 1.5-1.6m lifetime (exclusing budget releases, international versions) also seems about right.


If it only does 1-1.1m first week then it is a bomb (in Japan) and will have to somehow make up for that million of lost sales in the West. I guess PS3's low install base will play a bigger role in the game's sales than I thought.

   I hope it will crawl to at least 2m. LTD in Japan with various re-releases and inevitable 360 version.



All underestimate especially FFXIII, PSP2 and EOE. My list (LTD only)

(Wii) New Super Mario Bros. : 3.0 - 3.5 million
(PS3) Final Fantasy XIII : 2.2 - 2.5 million
(DS) Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks : 850k - 1.0 million
(DS) Layton 4 : 750k
(PSP) Kingdom Hearts : 600k
(PSP) MS Gundam vs. Gundam Next Plus : 450k
(PSP) Phantasy Star Portable 2 : 500k
(Wii) Tales of Graces : 300k
(PSP) Valkyria Chronicles 2 : 300k
(PSP) End of Eternity : 400k



ioi said:
It is first shipment and lifetime estimates.

FWIW, and we've said this before, 1-1.1m week one for FF XIII is looking about right judging by current preorder rates... and it will be massively frontloaded just like all big PS3 games in Japan so 1.5-1.6m lifetime (exclusing budget releases, international versions) also seems about right.

okay, I'm going to call ioi out right now about this prediction.

 

I say you are underestimate the sales by 50%, and you can quote me on that



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)

Final Fantasy XIII Pre-orders Outpacing FFXII -- Tsutaya
http://www.andriasang.com/e/blog/2009/11/17/tsutaya_december_sales_column/