Farmageddon said:
I doubt it, that would mean Zelda would never see a proper release on a console if they kept it up, for it would always have to be capped by the last console, as TP is capped by GC, I don't think it's a good idea.
Also, I don't expect a new Wii in 2011. What's the reasoning behind that? I mean, it's the best selling console, why would it go for a 4 year life cycle? Because the "gap in graphics" would start to look too big since more people have HD TVs or maybe Microsoft's and Sony's motion controls will be in play? I don't know, but I don't think they're good reasons. Graphics are not a problem today and more HD TVs won't make Wii less appealing when word of mouth is exploding and everyone else but you has a Wii with a big library full of hits and it's really cheap. And motion control, well, they may have the device, but will they get the right software? Enough to top Nintendo's Motion Plus, which should have some really good supporting software, like Zelda? |
Alright I'll start the 2011 argument! Using your quotes!
A) The Nintendo Wii launched in the fall of 2006, a five year life cycle would mean the next Nintendo platform is set to launch in fall 2011. Now you say it is the best selling console. That is true to a degree but Sony just overtook it in the monthly charts proving that even Nintendo isn't out of reach of the competition. Also in many other markets (movies/television/music) the best time to cancell a product and release a new one is at the hieght of that products life. Take Friends for example they cancelled the series at the peak when people said it was doing the best it had ever done. It makes sense for Nintendo to capitalize on its success buy releasing another platform right before sales begin to drop. lets face it the Wii has started to slump (Sales Wise) a price cut and new titles like NewSuperMarioBros couldn't even keep it above Sony.
B) Natal and Sony's wand. Think about this for a second Sony launches its wand next spring, if they cut their consoles price again to say 199.99$ like Nintendo they will be able to obliterate any chance of Nintendo making a recovery. Natal and the Wand both promise to revolutionalize game play on their respective platforms. This will make the consoles more casual and target Nintendo's market share directly. Nintendo will need something new to fend off the competition and I suspect if hardware sales continue to slump and Nintendo continues to loose marketshare then 2011 is more then a reasonable date for Nintendo's next platform!
C) Big library of hits. I sure hope your refering to WiiPlay/WiiFitPlus and WiiSports when your talking about library. Because to be honest Nintendo's hardcore franchises aren't fairing all that better then the competitions. I mean Uncharted managed to ship almost a million copies right out of the gate and thats on a platform with less then half the sales. Take for example Mario Galaxy it still got whipped by Halo3. Then when you talk about third party competition you see that hardcore titles like the Conduit barely sell at all. Word of mouth is only reaching soccer moms who pick up WiiFit!
D) your absolutely right WiiMotionPlus would be great for Legend Of Zelda. However I'm pretty sure Wii2's controller will have WiiMotionPlus built in and play almost identicle to Sony's wand. It would make alot of sense to launch the next generation with a Zelda title. Of course on the flipside it could be used to prolong Wii's sales in the face of a new platform.
Obviously you can see I expect WiiHD to launch in the fall of 2011, 2012 at absolute latest!
