By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - Why I predict First Week JPN FF13 sales to be 1.6 million

Carl on 27 September 2009
sc94597 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
darthdevidem01 said:
sc94597 said:

That seems just about what it should do. I don't expect much legs though. Still great sales for any Jrpg or even console game in Japan. It won't be succeeded as the best selling 3rd party Japanese console game until DQX counting only japan sales

 WW FF13 will outsell DQX 2:1

FF12 sold only 5.11 million WW, on a much larger base, so the likelihood that 13 will be able to outsell DQX 2 to 1 WW is small

_____

DQX = 4.9 Million

FF13 = 9.9 Million

both figures are WW

Outrageous. You can't be serious.

I know. Silly darth. No way DQX will sell that much.



                            

Around the Network
Snake612 on 27 September 2009

I agree completely with the OP's sales prediction.



TO GOD BE THE GLORY

sc94597 on 27 September 2009
Carl2291 said:
sc94597 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
darthdevidem01 said:
sc94597 said:

That seems just about what it should do. I don't expect much legs though. Still great sales for any Jrpg or even console game in Japan. It won't be succeeded as the best selling 3rd party Japanese console game until DQX counting only japan sales

 WW FF13 will outsell DQX 2:1

FF12 sold only 5.11 million WW, on a much larger base, so the likelihood that 13 will be able to outsell DQX 2 to 1 WW is small

_____

DQX = 4.9 Million

FF13 = 9.9 Million

both figures are WW

Outrageous. You can't be serious.

I know. Silly darth. No way DQX will sell that much.

It is much more realistic to believe DQX will do 4.9million if you look at the success of both DQVIII and DQIX than it is for FF XIII when in comparison to the best selling Final Fantasys;  Final Fantasy VII, Final Fantasy VIII and Final Fantasy X. Only Final Fantasy VII has gotten close to his prediction, and the other two are off by 2 million. The other two are also later releases in the declining series. The predecessor of FFXIII, FFXII has sold almost half of what Darth is predicting. So yeah.. Which do you think is more likely?



Boutros on 27 September 2009

That might happen but the Famitsu predictions were a lot lower and I heard they're usually rather accurate...



Carl on 27 September 2009
sc94597 said:
Carl2291 said:
sc94597 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
darthdevidem01 said:
sc94597 said:

That seems just about what it should do. I don't expect much legs though. Still great sales for any Jrpg or even console game in Japan. It won't be succeeded as the best selling 3rd party Japanese console game until DQX counting only japan sales

 WW FF13 will outsell DQX 2:1

FF12 sold only 5.11 million WW, on a much larger base, so the likelihood that 13 will be able to outsell DQX 2 to 1 WW is small

_____

DQX = 4.9 Million

FF13 = 9.9 Million

both figures are WW

Outrageous. You can't be serious.

I know. Silly darth. No way DQX will sell that much.

It is much more realistic to believe DQX will do 4.9million if you look at the success of both DQVIII and DQIX than it is for FF XIII when in comparison to the best selling Final Fantasys  Final Fantasy VII, Final Fantasy VIII and Final Fantasy X. Only Final Fantasy VII has gotten close to his prediction, and the other two are off by 2 million. The other two are also later releases in the declining series. The predecessor of FFXIII, FFXII has sold almost half of what Darth is predicting. So yeah.. Which do you think is more likely?

Final Fantasy 13 is multiplat. PS3 and Xbox 360. Xbox 360 is owned by Microsoft. Microsoft = $$$ in advertising = massive sales for whatever they decide to advertise.

That is all.

And a fix for you, Final Fantasy 7 is over 10 million if you include PSN and International.



                            

Around the Network
Johann on 27 September 2009
sc94597 said:
Carl2291 said:
sc94597 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
darthdevidem01 said:
sc94597 said:

That seems just about what it should do. I don't expect much legs though. Still great sales for any Jrpg or even console game in Japan. It won't be succeeded as the best selling 3rd party Japanese console game until DQX counting only japan sales

 WW FF13 will outsell DQX 2:1

FF12 sold only 5.11 million WW, on a much larger base, so the likelihood that 13 will be able to outsell DQX 2 to 1 WW is small

_____

DQX = 4.9 Million

FF13 = 9.9 Million

both figures are WW

Outrageous. You can't be serious.

I know. Silly darth. No way DQX will sell that much.

It is much more realistic to believe DQX will do 4.9million if you look at the success of both DQVIII and DQIX than it is for FF XIII when in comparison to the best selling Final Fantasys  Final Fantasy VII, Final Fantasy VIII and Final Fantasy X. Only Final Fantasy VII has gotten close to his prediction, and the other two are off by 2 million. The other two are also later releases in the declining series. The predecessor of FFXIII, FFXII has sold almost half of what Darth is predicting. So yeah.. Which do you think is more likely?

Don't you think DQX's sales will suffer a little bit for not being on the same console that DQIX was released on?



Quem disse que a boca é tua?

Qual é, Dadinho...?

Dadinho é o caralho! Meu nome agora é Zé Pequeno!

FinalEvangelion on 27 September 2009

Also, for the series has been in a decline argument. Here are total sales since FF7 in Japan

FF7 - 3.93 million

FF8 - 3.64 million

FF9 - 2.8 million

FF10 - 3.29 million (inc. International)

FF10-2 - 2.7 million (inc. Last Mission)

FF11 - Outlier for Japanese sales because MMO

FF12 - 2.42 million


A little bit of a downard trend, but first week sales of usually been 1.8-2 million except for FF8 which was much higher.



"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY."  --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials 

 

Conservatives:  Pushing for a small enough government to be a guest in your living room, or even better - your uterus.

 

sc94597 on 27 September 2009
Johann said:
sc94597 said:
Carl2291 said:
sc94597 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
darthdevidem01 said:
sc94597 said:

That seems just about what it should do. I don't expect much legs though. Still great sales for any Jrpg or even console game in Japan. It won't be succeeded as the best selling 3rd party Japanese console game until DQX counting only japan sales

 WW FF13 will outsell DQX 2:1

FF12 sold only 5.11 million WW, on a much larger base, so the likelihood that 13 will be able to outsell DQX 2 to 1 WW is small

_____

DQX = 4.9 Million

FF13 = 9.9 Million

both figures are WW

Outrageous. You can't be serious.

I know. Silly darth. No way DQX will sell that much.

It is much more realistic to believe DQX will do 4.9million if you look at the success of both DQVIII and DQIX than it is for FF XIII when in comparison to the best selling Final Fantasys  Final Fantasy VII, Final Fantasy VIII and Final Fantasy X. Only Final Fantasy VII has gotten close to his prediction, and the other two are off by 2 million. The other two are also later releases in the declining series. The predecessor of FFXIII, FFXII has sold almost half of what Darth is predicting. So yeah.. Which do you think is more likely?

Don't you think DQX's sales will suffer a little bit for not being on the same console that DQIX was released on?

Please go on. Isn't that the case with every Dragon Quest since the snes days and for FFXIII?

Note* I believe that the next Nintendo handheld will be out by the time of Dragon Quest X's release.



darthdevidem01 on 27 September 2009
sc94597 said:
Carl2291 said:
sc94597 said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
darthdevidem01 said:
sc94597 said:

That seems just about what it should do. I don't expect much legs though. Still great sales for any Jrpg or even console game in Japan. It won't be succeeded as the best selling 3rd party Japanese console game until DQX counting only japan sales

 WW FF13 will outsell DQX 2:1

FF12 sold only 5.11 million WW, on a much larger base, so the likelihood that 13 will be able to outsell DQX 2 to 1 WW is small

_____

DQX = 4.9 Million

FF13 = 9.9 Million

both figures are WW

Outrageous. You can't be serious.

I know. Silly darth. No way DQX will sell that much.

It is much more realistic to believe DQX will do 4.9million if you look at the success of both DQVIII and DQIX than it is for FF XIII when in comparison to the best selling Final Fantasys;  Final Fantasy VII, Final Fantasy VIII and Final Fantasy X. Only Final Fantasy VII has gotten close to his prediction, and the other two are off by 2 million. The other two are also later releases in the declining series. The predecessor of FFXIII, FFXII has sold almost half of what Darth is predicting. So yeah.. Which do you think is more likely?

I know but FF12 wasn't like also it launched almost in the MONTH PS3 launched (in every region where it launched.....be it japan or NA)

Even I didn't get FF12 till much later on....nex-gen hype overshadowed it & FF13 was revealed before it even came out!

FF12 & FF9.....both had those same things going against em & sold in the 5 million range



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

Avinash_Tyagi on 27 September 2009
FinalEvangelion said:
Also, for the series has been in a decline argument. Here are total sales since FF7 in Japan

FF7 - 3.93 million

FF8 - 3.64 million

FF9 - 2.8 million

FF10 - 3.29 million (inc. International)

FF10-2 - 2.7 million (inc. Last Mission)

FF11 - Outlier for Japanese sales because MMO

FF12 - 2.42 million


A little bit of a downard trend, but first week sales of usually been 1.8-2 million except for FF8 which was much higher.

Yeah, but that was on the PS1 and PS2 not the PS3, PS3 is likely to see a continued decline for the franchise



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)