Though usually with these new models Japan is very frontloated such like with big game releases.

man this guy is the real Buzzkill McGee, isn't he

I don't know about the "biggest drop ever" line in the OP. Maybe it was to make this thread more interesting to click on.

I'll say 300k, maybe more. Remember, it's not like everyone knew about this, and word of mouth will spread quickly from happy kids who are showing up to school with news about their new sets. Plus, it's getting close to the holidays. Only about three months to go. You figure that parents or potential buyers are hearing about this from word of mouth, but have only had about a week to save for it. Two weeks is better, but who knows. There could be shortages too.

350/400

I think it will be the week of New Super Mario Bros. Wii - I expect 0 PS3 and 0 Xbox 360 sales since Mario Bros. is too good to ignore and anybody that would buy another console during the release week of a Mario Bros. game is insane and should be arrested for treason.

Wow, kowenicki with a higher estimate than me.  I need to go outside and see if anything has frozen over.

It will sell . . . does anyone know how to make the infinity symbol on a forum?

350-400K

Last time I didn;t predict, and I got it right, this time im doing the same, just for tease

I'm going to have to guess around 250,000 or so....which is still great....hopefully it will level off around 150,000 before it gets the holiday boost.

Biggest PS3 sales drop ever is currently 584k to 157k after the EU launch. That's a drop of 73.11%.

Don't be silly. Only the Wii has negative sales.