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Forums - Sales - Sales of the "Big Three" over next 3 Years - Your opinion

HappySqurriel said:

The PS3 is tracking at a similar rate to the XBox, XBox 360, and Gamecube and will continue selling at a similar rate for the rest of its life. After an awful Holiday 2007 for the PS3 third parties will move the majority of their development resources away from exclusive development on HD platforms and there will be an even split (in resources) between multi-platform HD games and exclusive Wii games; this will result in a larger Wii library with more "Break-Out" titles whilst the XBox 360 and PS3 maintain a small library of more tried and tested games and genres.


I agree to a degree...but what about Sony's inhouse teams and 1st party developers.  3rd party developers WILL stop the exclusive games for the 360 and PS3 until there is a much bigger userbase.  But what would you consider to be a good userbase....15-20m.  Going by my reckoning, both the PS3 and 360 will be there by the end of 2008.  Thats why 2009 will be a bigger year for the PS3 anyway.



Prediction (June 12th 2017)

Permanent pricedrop for both PS4 Slim and PS4 Pro in October.

PS4 Slim $249 (October 2017)

PS4 Pro $349 (October 2017)

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homelesscarl said:
Cool colored bars there. How'd ya all get them?

I copied davygee's chart ...

Cut n' past is your friend



Wii end of 09, 30=39 million

360 20-29 million

PS3 20-25 million



Xbox Live Gamertag - Deathscythe X

AIM SN - Alexie Di Onie

 

You'll find out what i currently predict for the end of 08 by December 27th 2008




2009
wii 25-30 mill
xbox 20-25 mill
ps3 35-40 mill

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davygee said:

Girl Gamer Elite said:

Also,

Interesting prediction for the PS3, no offense but if shame isn't an deturant in your predictions then why not just put it in in first place?

 


I'm sorry, but I've not got a clue what you are talking about here.  It's muddled English.


Agreed davygee. I think it's a personal attack... I think it requires a warning... But it's too broken for me to make that conclusion.



I'm a mod, come to me if there's mod'n to do. 

Chrizum is the best thing to happen to the internet, Period.

Serves me right for challenging his sales predictions!

Bet with dsisister44: Red Steel 2 will sell 1 million within it's first 365 days of sales.

^
traslation; "interesting prediction for the PS3, no offence but if shame isn't a deterrant in your predictions then why not just put it in in the first place?"

however i have no idea how that relates to what Davygee had in the first post so it still makes no sense.

@space20man....considering the Wii is though by many to have a minimum of 16million sales by the end of 2007 (and most people are expecting 18million) and you have it selling a mere 9 million for a period of 2 years after that.
Your top value for 360 is probably the closest to what i would guess 360 will be at by the end of 2009 (probably about 28million.)
I am not making any solid predictions for the end of 09 until after this christmas, but if i were to make a guess the PS3 by the end of 09 could be 30 million (still 5M below your number).



stof said:
davygee said:

Girl Gamer Elite said:

Also,

Interesting prediction for the PS3, no offense but if shame isn't an deturant in your predictions then why not just put it in in first place?

 


I'm sorry, but I've not got a clue what you are talking about here. It's muddled English.


Agreed davygee. I think it's a personal attack... I think it requires a warning... But it's too broken for me to make that conclusion.

I will attempt to translate this jumbled mess for you all. Here goes:

Also,

Interesting prediction for the PS3, no offense but if shame isn't a deterrent in your predictions then why don't you just put the PS3 in first place.

Okay that will be $50 translation fee for each of you. Of course I'll take a Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn and Mass Effect as a substitute for cash

Now for my predictions. I hate doing predictions beyond a year but here goes.

 ConsoleEnd of 2007
End of 2008
End of 2009
 Wii16m-20m36-45m
56m-70m
 36013m-15m23m-26m30m-36m
 PS37m-8m
14m-15m21m-25m

 

 

 



^ah, your translation helps it make more sense.



"Wii Best Case Scenario"        

             2007            2008               2009            2010          2011

Wii       18-20            36-40             56-65           72-90         84-110

360      13-16            20-24             26-32           31-38        35-42

PS3      6.5-8.5          15-18             22-27           27-34        31-40

            2012             2013              2014            2015           2016

Wi        90-120         93-125          95-128         96-129        96-129.5 

360      37-45           38-46            38.5-46.5    38.5-46.88   38.5-47     

PS3      34-45           36-49            37-51         37.5-52         38-52.5

 

Expected lifetime totals in "Wii Best Case Scenario" (Jap/Americas/Others):

Wii - 110 million (30/40/40)

PS3 - 45 million (9/18/18)

360 - 42 million (1.5/30.5/10)

Expected lifetime totals in "360  Best Case Scenario"

Wii - 80 million (24/31/25)

360 - 65 million (3/37/25)

PS3 - 50 million (7/20/23)

Expected lifetime totals in "PS3 Best Case Scenario"

PS3 - 75 million (10/30/35)

Wii - 75 million (20/30/25)

360 - 45 million (1/34/10)

 

Industry (as a cohesive unit) Best Case Scenario:

250 million

Wii - 130 million (30/50/50)

PS3 - 70 million (10/30/30)

360 - 50 million (3/35/12)

 

The Source's Personal Expectations:

225 million market.  Japan - 35 million.  Americas - 90 million.  Others - 100 million

Wii - 115 million (28/47/40)

PS3 - 60 million (5.5/17.5/37)

360 - 50 million (1.5/25.5/23)

 

 



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu