@zukaus you perfectly explained how blind people can be to support their side. nice post :)
kber81, I do get your point. Bluray has more support and will benefit in sales from that. So what? I was not trying to argue about which video format will succeed or fail. I think you are not getting my point. Namely that Kwaad is blindly loyal to Sony, PS3, and Blueray and will use the numbers and statistics when they suit his purpose and disregard them when it doesn't fit into his argument.
There is no reason to point he is "blindly loyal". Everyone here knows Kwaad's logic. The most lame thing about him - he tries to prove how moderate he is by pointing "flame" of other "sony's supporters" ("If I were a mod I would ban Death", Washimul is fanatic, kber81 is off-topic and so on) and pretending to be a multiplatform freelance gamer. It's lame. It's damn lame. Anyway in this certain situation he's right. Blu-ray already won.
yeah, it looks like neither blu ray nor hd dvd are gonna do what DVD did to videos. i'd much rather get DVD quality, or even VCD quality, if i can just turn on my iTV or whatever box they have by then and pick a movie of my choice that i have already purchased. if i can do away with stashes of DVDs, i would. i wouldn't even care if the movie is stored on the hard disk... if they can make streaming fast enough. in fact it'll be much more elegant that way. you know, like gmail and google online spreadsheets and documents. i do all of my casual stuff on google spreadsheet and word these days. do i miss the bells and whistles of MS word? not really. being mobile FAR outweighs the nicer formating and whatever features. blu-ray and HD dvd are at best a transitional or niche technology.
the Wii is an epidemic.
ah, VCD reminds me of something. in china, the economic boom started after VHS was commonplace in the west, so the first video player most households owned was a VCD player. DVD came along just a bit latter than the VCDs, but its adoption rate was VERY slow. movies slowly migrated to the DVD, but even nowadays, when it comes to TV series, most releases in china are still on VCD's, not DVDs. plus, VCD's appeals to the price sensitive crowd. VCD never gained ground in the US since the DVD entered the market almost immediately afterwards. DVD to VCD is exactly like HD to DVD. there's no good reason why consumer would flock to it when there's a perfectly capable, and much cheaper, substitute on the market. the natural progression will go like: VHS-->DVD-->online delivery. online delivery would almost certainly be widely available in a years time--a lot of companies are already positioning themselves for that, google for more info.
the Wii is an epidemic.