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I don't know about the gamers but the European critics are being really harsh with The Conduit. I mean there were a few US critics (GameSpot, GamePro, Giant Bomb) that gave it terrible scores but it seems like most of the Europeans are giving it in the 70s and lower...

I'm sorry but with as many good games as there are these days a 70 or lower is a rent/pass for most people unless they are attached to the franchise or the specific game for some reason...  And having played The Conduit to death already, I can't see how any core game who has a Wii (even if you have another console) would not want it in their collection, unless they just hate FPS...

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I bet The Conduit will still sell well in the holidays, especially if they put some ads on the air, because it has no competition in its space (which is extremely popular) except a 9 month old game most everyone is already sick of...

there really isn't anything coming out for the wii beside resort and little king story or any other home console for matter for a while so hpefully that will help the sales.

Too simplified.

1. CoD5 was released in the holiday season.

2. You are assuming The Cunduit will do just as good in Europe as it did in NA (aren't you?).

I'd be surprised if it outsold CoD5.

This also only factors us sales into a worldwide prediction. It's a cool method but definitely not as accurate as we could be.

If we wait another 3-5 weeks before trying this, we might be closer.

I say about 750k by end of year, 1.25-1.5 lifetime

Since you're in here, do you think we might be able to get a prediction out of you? :)

@ tombi123 - that's not what I'm assuming at all. I'm assuming that all FPS have the same ratio of Americas sales : Others sales. Not that the ratio is 1:1

@ ioi (and tombi's 1st point) This is true. Hmm

@ student - it's the most accurate method I could think of when we only have 2 weeks of Americas data and no others. I agree that if we wait we will get better data

I prefer Strategyking's method of comparing it to Carnival Games

Well, however you slice it, The Conduit should sell between 750k-2m+ which either way is a huge success for HVS and should generate a sequel but probably few copycats.

The problem is that both World at War and QoS had local multiplayer, which is one of the bigger factors that lends a title legs. The Conduit's online community is going to have to remain quite engaging to get the kind of word-of-mouth going to keep the engine.