Holy cherry picking mother of god you're good.

First off remember that Super Smash Bros Brawl was only a couple months old and is still selling >300k a month.

Let's see the top new Wii games from that time that had arying degrees of influence on sales:

April 2008
Mario Kart Wii (2.2m)

May 2008
Mario Kart Wii (additional 3m)

June 2008
Mario Kart Wii (additional 700k)
LEGO Indiana Jones (500k Wii is best selling ver)

Now, this is not including anything else like WiiFit and which barely a year old is still selling in the top 5 worldwide every month.

****************

April 2009
Guitar Hero: Metallica (205k)

May 2009
Punch Out!! (206k)

June (granted partial month)
EA Sports Active (240k)

***************

So, your looking at 3 months in 2008 when that year's biggest seller launched that is still in the top 10 every month to a 2.5 month time frame with absolutely NO big games.

You don't see anything wrong with that logic?

Let's recap this in November after NSMBWii, MH3 (japan), WiiSportsResort, WiiFitPlus, etc have all launched.

Again, 26million shipped is in the bank.

You know if Nintendo ever does a price drop in the next 12 months, they'll do it on the week that Sony releases its purple wand

I'm still waiting for that April price cut Pachter predicted for PS3 to happen... I have no reason to believe him on this

Im looking at the first 3 months of the financial year. So the Wii has to outsell its previous years effort by an average of 43,580 per week for the remainder of the 43 weeks left in the financial year. Since I don't think June is going to be at all that friendly to the Wii considering last year it sold 666k in America alone. The Wii sold 1.6M from Jun 15 to Jul 12, but this year it only sold 0.9M Between 10 May and the 6th June. So the Wii could very well fall behind by another 500,000 over the next 4 weeks before WSR and the average advantage over 2008 required to meet the target would rise to ~62K per week.

I have to agree. It is just like statistics. Although, sometimes they are right or close.

The Wii will probably be sold out all Christmas just like the past two years. I doubt this would help them.

doubtful nintendo isnt gonna drop the price when sales are as good as they are without any (mainstream) quality titles. Sales will pick up a bit when more good games come out.

Wii will see Wiiterations like DS,DSLite, DSi. Wii will see other colours like Black. Finally Wii will see price adjustments depending on economy. A price adjustment however will be up or down. Wii will never see a pricecut EVER.

i doubt nintendo will cut the price of wii. they will probably ship black wiis to EU/NA for holiday season and they still have WM+, New Super Mario Bros 4, 3rd party games, Wii Fit and other Wii classics that will move consoles. we will see first pricecut next year probably.

Ain't gonna happen.

If Nintendo hasn't reduced the production compared to last year, taking the 2.4 millions units or so they are supposed to produce per month they already have over 5 millions units sitting in their warehouses and that number will just keep growing ( ain't gonna sell 2.4 millions Wii in July or August).