Steroid said:
MS still has 9 billion to go before they make a single cent on the xbox brand. I'm not saying Sony is in a better position financially but you're going off on a tangent. My question is if they waited a year to respond to the 2007 pricecut, why would they do an immidiate response in 2009 when they aren't in as strong a position? Don't equivocate I'd like some sound logic. |
They didn't wait a year, they waited 6 months in Europe and then for the end of the year they timed their response perfectly and they took back everything Sony took during the year and then added some more. Their response to the price cut was perfect and it will probably lead to a 4M unit swing by the time Sony can respond. I predicted their response at the time based off statements they made that they would finish 2nd in the generation. These statements still apply.
Microsoft does not have 9B to go, you're basing it off some stupid inflation adjusted table which is based off their entire EDD results and has pretty close to zero bearing on the actual Xbox 360 operations and reality. Look beneath the results and you can see there is actually a fairly good margin between costs directly attributed to the Xbox 360 and revenue gathered by that platform. The EDD isn't carrying the Xbox 360, the Xbox 360 is carrying the EDD. Furthermore the losses are sunk costs and they don't effect the operations going forward so long as the operations are profitable.
What incentive does Microsoft have for increasing sales now? They have 3 quite big incentives. The first is their revenue model is better than Sony's so they can earn revenue off the online services in Xbox Live so they can afford a bigger loss per unit initially because they can earn more revenue per Xbox 360 per year. The second is that they want to have a bigger userbase to speed adoption of Natal to earn more future revenue and it also gives them better negotiating positions with third party companies. The third is the console war games bleed on between generations, a stronger result now yields a stronger result for the next time they play the game. How they come out of the gate next time is reflected on how many units they sell this time.
Can they afford to cut the price? Well probably. The Xbox 360 has been on the market for a year longer than the PS3 and it hasn't had as drastic price cuts as the competition. Also their revenues are improving whilst for Sony their PSP and PS2 sales are down year over year. Also even if they make no internal hardware changes to the Xbox 360, a console produced now will be cheaper than it was last year due to improved yields on the chips and lower prices per wafer, better manufacturing, more reliable consoles and lower prices on pretty much everything due to the recession. How much cheaper? I don't know but its definately cheaper. Add any other changes they care to make into the mix such as 45nm CPU/GPUs, obsorbing the ED-Ram into the GPU, using 4 ram chips vs 8 or switching to faster/cheaper GDDR5 its all open to them and they would all cut the per unit price of the Xbox 360.
Tease.











