If you overshoot demand too much, and produce a massive surplus, you end up in the ugly position of having to stop production of your console (often temporarily). From a PR perspective this is a terrible event because it sounds like your system is dying and from an engineering perspective this is awful because this means no (new) cost saving measures can be put into the system. Essentially, if Sony is not careful they could find themselves getting press in 6 to 9 months that the "PS3 is DOA" while not being able to adress the biggest problem with the PS3 (its price) without taking a massive loss.