Considering how the Wii sells games, The Conduit has a great chance of selling millions over long term.

But instant gratifcation counts, and unless it sells a certain number. even if it's a smash hit over the next few months, they will raise up their shouts that it's a flop, and all the implications they want it to have.

I mean, they still post stories of Chinatown Wars having apparently poor sales (based on US alone, not worldwide), based solely on the notion that GTA + attach rate should be able to overcome an experimental + throwback game that would turn off the mainstream crowd that embraced the 3D games. And it certainly hasn't slowed down core developer support.

So The Conduit will likely have the same thing, no matter how much it sells in the long term, if it sells below a certain amount.

Anything less than 100k in the opening week guarantees it. 200k-300k would make it harder for such cries to be credible. 500k or more would likely silence all but the most delusional fanboys and trolls.

Again, the actual opening week won't matter. Remember Boom Blox and CoD: WaW. Even CTYD it selling better than its opening weeks indicated (although only slightly better, and may top out at just over 200k). What matters here is if the bashers will have an excuse or not.

It will need to live up to the stupid internet hype machine that we've had to endure for the past year.

Which basically means it's doomed.

200k-A 150-others 350 ww even then there will be some who still think that it bombed.

yes the hype has made very high sales the benchmark.

I'll be very impressed if it's more than 9000

I needs about 10 million instantly if you want to stop all the bitching, but even then you have the bitchings of "it doesn't deserve the sales"

If it's a low start it's a bomb, if it's a moderate start it's not as big as _____ game, if it's a million it's still not as big as 360/PS3 FPS titles, if it's 2 million it's still as not as big as Nintendo franchises which is bad for third parties, you see where I'm going right? It's a bitchfest and it's going to happen :P

150k launch week should do it.

Then decent legs to take it to ~2million.

I'm going to go with it selling less than 100k first week and reading posts about how it flopped for the next two months. I like to keep my expectations low.

Just as long as we know what to expect. Then we can tune it out.

If this game sell 150k they will say "Halo 3 did millions in the first week, FPS is for the 360 and not for the Wii, and this crap game was bombed". If the game sell 1 million in the lifetime they will say "hahahaha we will never see a FPS on the Wii in the 2 millions".

They always have an excuse, so... this already is a bomb, the internet and the fanboys already chose.