There is a better chance of the Detroit Lion's going 19-0 and ending the upcoming NFL season as Super Bowl champions.

At this point, its almost physically impossible. If Wii's stopped selling period (flatline), and PS3 sold whatever its going to sell for until PS4 comes out, it would still be close

DQX

No. Even if the wii was taken off the shelves, I don't think it'll make it

5 million sales is at least 4 years time for the PS3 (at the current pace it is more like 5 years, but I am giving some leeway)

And that is just to get up to where the Wii is now.

yes i think it will take JP and im even thinking EU as well ill never loose hope

You're craz(z)y

Here is my plan as to how Sony is going to change the face of this generation.

1. PS3 hits profit after the fall to 45nm Cell chip(tentitive September).
2. Sony markets the crap out of its new motion controller over the holidays. Shows that the PS3 has Movies, Games, Music, Internet, Home, TV, 3D, and more.
3. Sony drops the price to $299 after the 45nm RSX hits, with PS3 momentum at an all time high already, the price cut busts open the flood gates(tentative Febuary 2010).
4. Sony contiunes to profit, a slim PS3 is launched in Spetember of 2010 at a $249 price point.
5. September 2011 Sony makes the move to a unified Cell RSX chip, at 32nm, swittches to SSD's which are now cheaper to produce than HDD's, and drops the PS3 price to $149.

That = PS3>Wii in the end, in Japan at least.

Bonus factor - 3rd parties sell way better on PS3. Japan publishers will go PS3 exclusive on many titles making things even harder on Wii.

Actually third parties sell more on Wii..there was a link around here somewhere.